Miami area commercial real estate broker José Maria Serrano talks with fellow area commercial real estate brokers Tony Puente, Rafael Romero, and Sandra Goldstein about South Florida’s commercial real estate market.
Video: Green Street Believes Transportation Revolution Will Significantly Impact Commercial Property
In this commercial real estate related video, Dave Bragg of Green Street Advisors discusses the transportation revolution and its expected impacts on real estate. He provides a touch of added color through some real world examples and a few highlights of other disruptors that are key areas of focus for Green Street.
- Biggest disruptor of real estate revolution is transportation, the combination of ride hailing and driverless cars
- Less car ownership
- Less parking
- Easier, faster, cheaper commutes
- Major safety implications
- Real estate beneficiaries
- Self storage will not fare well
- Summit NJ subsidized uber rides in lieu of building a garage, implying
- Less garage space
- Less car ownership
- Industrial a beneficiary with e-commerce growth
- Low quality retail negatively affected as tech solves last mile problem
- Opportunities in retail with infill opportunities
- Compares Aventura and Bal Harbor malls as an example of long term effects, noting that Aventura’s excess land in form of parking lots stands to benefit more as land needed for parkign is reduced, freeing it up for infill opportunities
- Self storage will not fare well
- Also
- Believe online education will begin to affect student housing needs negatively
- AirBnB has not yet had a material effect on lodging
Video: Shahab Karmely discusses Miami River, One River Point
In this video: Despite the condominium market slowdown, Miami developer Shahab Karmely is confident that his project and the Miami River are poised for big growth.In an interview following a panel, Karmely and TRD South Florida’s Managing Editor Ina Cordle discussed his One River Point and the river in general at TRD‘s Third Annual Broward Real Estate Showcase & Forum in April. Presales at One River Point are soon to pass the 18, 20 percent market. Buyers there are mostly from South America, but they also come from Georgia, New York and Canada. “We have headwinds – not us, just everybody else,” he said. “On the other hand, we are financially very secure. We have no financing.”
The Real Deal previously reported that Karmely’s silent partner is Daniel Loeb, a billionaire investor who runs one of the most prominent activist hedge funds, Third Point LLC. Karmely’s KAR Properties has spent more than $112 million on acquisitions along the Miami River, in Wynwood and in Hallandale Beach since 2013, and more on pre-develoment costs.
Karmely was part of a panel discussion on the economics of new development amid a new administration and continuing global market fluctuation. To watch the panel in full, click here.
Video: Jim Sullivan of Greenstreet Advisors Discusses Retail
Jim Sullivan of Greenstreet Advisors opines on the headwinds in the retail sector, notably the onslaught of e-commerce market share gains and recent department store closings. He sheds light on the tailwinds that tend to be overlooked. He says that half of the time they are spending today is with retail property customers, indicating that this is an area undergoing rapid change. On the positive side, he notes that construction is very low compared with history, and that occupancy rates are remaining high.
Video: Green Street Advisors Managing Director Michael Knott Says Health Care Properties Attracting Foreign Capital
Michael Knott reports that after a quiet year for the health care sector for most of 2016, an “explosion of deals” worth in excess of $5 billion has occurred recently. The trend underscores the significant amount of capital available for the sector, especially foreign capital.
Highlights include:
- Large transactions just took place in prior couple of weeks
- Indications are that there is lots of foreign capital available for such investments
- Skilled nursing coverage ratios are expected to continue to decline, with ramifications on how public market investors perceive these investments
- Seeing some excess supply issues in senior housing, particularly in secondary and tertiary markets
- Expect decelerating trend in cash flow growth, NOI, for senior housing operators, potentially pressure on pricing power
- Operating expense control has also been a challenge in senior housing
Video of the Concrete Pour at The Ritz-Carlton Residences Being Built in Sunny Isles Beach
The foundation is laid, and now the Ritz-Carlton Residences, Sunny Isles Beach is going vertical.
Eighty trucks delivered 600 loads of concrete to complete the foundation of the luxury condo building in Sunny Isles Beach. More than 100 Suffolk Construction workers wrapped up the foundation pour of the 52-story tower at 15701 Collins Avenue at the end of April.
A joint venture of Fortune International Group and the Château Group is developing the building. It’s being designed by Arquitectonica with interiors by Florentine architect Michele Bönan. Prices range from $2.5 million to $30 million for penthouses, or an average of about $1,500 per square foot. Sales were at nearly 65 percent in February.
The nearly 19-hour construction pour resulted in a 22,000-square-foot mat that has more than 1,110 tons of reinforced steel, according to a press release.
The developers closed on $163.11 million in construction financing from Bank of Ozarks in September, boosting their mortgage to $212.11 million. The tower is expected to top off in late 2018 and will be completed in mid-2019, he said.
Video: Cedrik Lachance on Real Estate Values and Sector Allocation
In this short video, Cedrik Lachance, Director of U.S. REIT Research at real estate research and analysis company Green Street Advisors, explains why his firm expects private market values to be more or less flat over the next 6 to12 months. He also sheds a bit of light on ‘A’ malls and three other sectors that are attractively priced currently.
Video: Eric Frankel of Green Street on Selectivity of Development by Industrial REITs
In this short video, Green Street Advisors analyst Eric Frankel shares that the current boost to industrial demand from ecommerce is estimated to be 30-40% this year, higher than the approximately 20% for the past several years. Eric also provides perspective on increasing industrial property supply, industrial REIT investors’ strategies this cycle, and future risks to the industrial property market that could curtail demand.
Video: Green Street’s David De La Rosa ~ U.S. REIT Market is an Important Global Benchmark for Best Practices
David De La Rosa, Senior Vice President of Green Street’s Advisory group, in this video provides a cross-border perspective to management teams in this short 3-minute video. He discusses U.S. REIT best practices and also advises companies to benchmark against their international peers to have more success in attracting investors.
Video: REIS Chief Economist & SVP Victor Calanog Delivers an Update on Industrial Market Trends for 2017 REIS Q1
In this video, REIS Chief Economist and Senior Vice President Victor Calanog provides a quick update on the market fundamentals in the industrial sector for Q1 2017. Among the highlights are:
- In contrast to most other sectors, lots of movement in industrial property fundamentals
- Vacancy ended quarter at 10.1% down 10 basis points for the quarter and 40 basis points over the past year
- Flex/R&D property vacacny ended at 10.9% down 20 bp for the quarter and 80 basis points for the year
- Rents were up 0.6% for the quarter on both an asking and effective basis
- Asking and effective rents increased .5% and .6%, respectively, for flex/R&D property
- Rent growth good relative to other property sectors
- Economy was expected to grow more than it has under new administration, but industrial is bucking the trend as trade is OK and e-commerce continues to grow
Video: REIS Chief Economist & SVP Victor Calanog Updates on 2017 REIS Q1 Retail Property Market Trends
In this video, REIS Chief Economist and Senior Vice President Victor Calanog provides a quick update on the market fundamentals in the retail propery sector for the first quarter of 2017. Highlights include:
- Retail fundamentals were mostly flat in 2017
- Vacancy rate for neighborhood and community shopping centers remained flat at 9.9%
- Also flat on a year over year basis at 9.9%
- Asking rents rose by 0.5%, with effective rents rising 0.4%, 2% for the year
- Regional mall vacancy rose by 10 basis points to 7.9%
Asking rents increased 0.4% for the quarter, 1.8% for the year - No surprises given the slew of articles discussing the issues in retail
- Despite all the negative news, other retail types like restaurants, experiential retail, are doing well, offsetting higher profile closures