Video: Morgan Stanley’s Real Estate Investing Co-CEO Lauren Hochfelder discusses firm’s top real estate investing ‘megatrends’

The Discussion: Morgan Stanley’s Real Estate Investing Megatrends; Insights from Co-CEO Lauren Hochfelder

The recent Yahoo Finance episode of “Wealth!” featured Morgan Stanley Real Estate Investing Co-CEO, Lauren Hochfelder, who provided an in-depth analysis of current real estate investing trends amidst a volatile market. With shelter prices rising by 5.5% year over year and high mortgage rates coupled with low housing inventory, investors face a challenging landscape. Hochfelder, however, sees this as an opportune time to invest, driven by several megatrends reshaping the sector. Note that this discussion is about commercial property throughout the United States. Thus, observations can apply less to Miami area property.

Real Estate Market Overview

The real estate market is undergoing a significant correction, with broad repricing across various asset classes. Hochfelder pointed out that some assets are distressed for valid reasons, but many are performing well in terms of income growth yet are priced 20-30% lower. This, she argues, presents a unique entry point for investors.

Key Megatrends Driving Real Estate Investment

Hochfelder highlighted several key megatrends that are creating substantial investment opportunities:

1. Growth in E-commerce: The continued expansion of e-commerce is driving demand for warehouses. This trend is expected to persist as more consumers shop online, necessitating efficient supply chain logistics to deliver goods quickly.

2. Realignment of the Global Supply Chain: Globalization is undergoing a U-turn, with event-driven supply shocks prompting companies to rebuild their infrastructure. This shift is increasing the demand for warehouses as businesses adapt to the new supply chain dynamics.

3. Aging Demographics: The aging population is changing housing preferences and needs. As people live longer and seek different living arrangements, there is a growing demand for varied housing options, including senior living facilities.

Impact of Interest Rates on Commercial Real Estate

Real estate, being a levered asset class, is significantly impacted by interest rates. Hochfelder noted that many asset owners are currently under pressure due to high interest rates, which make refinancing difficult. However, Morgan Stanley focuses on maintaining durable capital stacks that can withstand any interest rate environment. They invest in properties where income growth can outpace rate expansions, ensuring resilience across economic cycles.

Location Versus Dislocation

Traditionally, real estate investment was guided by the principle of “location, location, location.” However, Hochfelder emphasized that today’s strategy should also consider “dislocation, dislocation, dislocation.” This involves understanding changes in where people live and work. For example, the COVID-19 pandemic led to significant shifts, with people moving from traditional hubs like New York City to emerging markets such as Miami and Dallas. These migrations are influencing where investors should place their bets.

Conclusion

In summary, Lauren Hochfelder’s insights underscore that while the current real estate market presents challenges, it also offers substantial opportunities driven by transformative megatrends. Investors need to consider these broader shifts, focus on durable investment strategies, and be mindful of evolving location dynamics to successfully navigate the real estate landscape.

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May 21, 2024

Video: Developer Don Peebles Discusses Real Estate, Lists Miami Among Cities of Opportunity

The Discussion: The Future of the Housing Market and Commercial Real Estate; Insights from Industry Leader Don Peebles

Introduction:
Recent data indicate that the housing market is beginning to cool, as evidenced by an increase in “For Sale” signs and a rise in new mortgage applications. The market is experiencing a complex interplay of factors that are shaping its trajectory. To provide a deeper understanding, Don Peebles, Chair and CEO of Peebles Corporation, shared his expert insights into the current state of the housing and commercial real estate markets during a recent interview.

Housing Market Dynamics:
Peebles highlighted a noticeable shift in the housing market. Despite a rise in new mortgage demands and an increase in single and multifamily housing starts, the market remains supply-constrained. This limitation in supply continues to drive up prices in most major metropolitan areas across the United States. Peebles noted that 93% of the top 50 metropolitan markets are seeing price increases in both rents and home prices.

However, specific regions like Florida, which has seen significant price appreciation since 2018, are starting to experience a pullback. This moderation is a natural consequence of the rapid price increases over the past few years. Despite this, the overall housing market remains robust due to the persistent supply constraints and high demand.

Challenges in Commercial Real Estate:
Turning to the commercial real estate sector, Peebles pointed out the challenges posed by the lending environment. Regional and local banks, which have significant exposure to commercial office buildings, are facing difficulties as many of these properties are struggling, particularly in major markets. The pandemic has exacerbated these issues, leading to a cautious approach from banks regarding new loans.

At 2:34 in this video, Miami, along with Boston, San Francisco, and Charlotte, is displayed among a list of  “cities of opportunity.”

Opportunities in Private Credit:
Amid these challenges, Peebles identified private credit as a significant opportunity in the commercial real estate market. Since regulatory changes discouraged banks from making high-volatility commercial real estate loans, private credit has stepped in to fill the gap. With banks now hesitant to issue new loans due to rising interest rates, private credit lenders can capitalize on the opportunity to secure high-quality loans without facing as much competition.

Peebles explained that private credit underwriting is more individualized compared to the formulaic approach of banks, allowing for better decision-making and potentially more secure investments. This adaptability and focused approach make private credit a promising avenue in the current market environment.

Regional Market Insights:
Peebles highlighted specific markets such as Boston and the Bay Area as having significant opportunities due to their supply-constrained nature. These regions, known for their high demand and limited supply, continue to perform well. He also mentioned that despite the general trend of a cooling market, some areas still offer attractive investment opportunities due to their unique supply and demand dynamics.

Future Outlook:
Looking ahead, Peebles provided a cautionary outlook for the commercial real estate market. He described the current situation as a “calm before the storm,” with many local and regional banks holding substantial commercial real estate loans that have not yet faced foreclosure actions. As these foreclosures begin to increase, there could be a ripple effect leading to job declines and significant losses in the commercial banking sector by 2025.

Conclusion:
Don Peebles’ insights offer a nuanced perspective on the housing and commercial real estate markets. While the housing market shows signs of cooling, it remains resilient due to supply constraints. In contrast, the commercial real estate sector faces significant challenges, but opportunities in private credit offer a silver lining. Investors and stakeholders should prepare for potential turbulence ahead, especially in the commercial sector, while remaining vigilant for emerging opportunities.

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May 17, 2024

Video: Rooftop Cinema Club Founder and CEO Gerry Cottle, Head of Real Estate Aly Dean on Creating New Revenue Streams from Underutilized CRE Space

Video: Exploring Rooftop Cinema Club; A Unique Fusion of Film and Real Estate

The recent episode of “America’s Commercial Real Estate Show” delved into an innovative concept transforming underutilized urban spaces: Rooftop Cinema Club. This conversation, featuring Gerry Cottle, the founder and CEO, and Aly Dean, the head of real estate development at Rooftop Cinema Club, highlighted the unique blend of cinema and real estate that this company offers.

The Concept: A Cinematic Experience in the Sky

Rooftop Cinema Club began in London in 2011, providing an open-air film experience that quickly gained popularity despite the unpredictable weather. The concept was simple yet novel: classic and contemporary films are shown on rooftops, enhanced by stunning city views and a social atmosphere. By 2015, the concept was brought to the U.S., starting in New York and quickly expanding to cities like Hollywood, San Diego, Houston, and Miami.

Versatility in Venues

One of the standout features of Rooftop Cinema Club is its flexibility regarding venue locations. The company is not tied to a specific type of rooftop. Instead, it can adapt to various structures, including hotels, office buildings, parking decks, and even tennis courts. The primary requirement is a good view, which enhances the overall experience for the audience. This adaptability allows the company to repurpose underutilized spaces, turning them into vibrant social hubs.

Partnership with Property Owners

For property owners, Rooftop Cinema Club offers a unique opportunity to monetize unused spaces. The company typically enters into long-term leases, viewing these partnerships as mutually beneficial. Property owners gain a unique amenity that attracts visitors and tenants, while Rooftop Cinema Club secures a location for their events. The setup process involves some tenant improvements, often shared between the property owner and Rooftop Cinema Club, including structural reinforcements and utility installations.

Creating a Social Cinema Experience

Rooftop Cinema Club differentiates itself from traditional cinemas by offering more than just a movie. It’s an entire evening out, complete with delicious food, crafted cocktails, and a social environment where attendees can play games and engage in conversations before the movie starts. This “social cinema” approach transforms a simple film screening into a memorable event, appealing to a broad audience, from families to date-night couples.

Technological Adaptations

A unique aspect of the Rooftop Cinema Club experience is the use of wireless headphones. This innovation stemmed from a need to avoid disturbing nearby residents and has since become a signature feature. The headphones not only provide high-quality sound but also eliminate common cinema distractions, such as rustling snack bags and talking patrons.

Programming and Audience Engagement

The film selection at Rooftop Cinema Club is diverse, ranging from beloved classics to recent releases. Audience engagement is also a priority, with opportunities for attendees to vote on movie choices. The company supports various film genres, including women in film and black cinema, ensuring a broad and inclusive program. Last year, they showcased 400 movies, emphasizing their dedication to providing diverse and engaging content.

Economic and Marketing Impact

The presence of Rooftop Cinema Club can significantly boost local economies. By attracting hundreds of visitors, often on traditionally quiet nights, they bring new business to surrounding restaurants and bars. Moreover, the visually appealing setup of the cinema is a magnet for social media influencers, providing valuable marketing exposure for both the cinema and its host location.

Future Expansion

Rooftop Cinema Club plans to continue expanding, with a goal of opening 20 more venues across the U.S. in the next four years. This ambitious growth plan underscores the company’s confidence in its unique concept and the demand for innovative entertainment experiences.

Conclusion

Rooftop Cinema Club is a prime example of how creativity and strategic partnerships can revitalize underutilized urban spaces. By offering a unique blend of high-quality cinema, social interaction, and stunning views, it has carved out a niche in the entertainment and real estate markets. For property owners looking to enhance their assets and communities seeking new entertainment options, Rooftop Cinema Club presents a compelling opportunity. As they continue to expand, more cities and property owners will likely find themselves eager to join this cinematic journey in the sky.

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May 16, 2024

Miami Commercial Real Estate News May 15, 2024: 1,200 Units Proposed for Overtown; 276-Unit Hamilton to Hit Market; 108-Unit Hialeah MF Trades for $21M; More…

Aimco plans to list waterfront Hamilton apartment tower, its second major Miami asset to hit market

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Developer Proposes 19-Story Intracoastal-Facing Condo Tower At 3000 East Oakland Park Boulevard in Fort Lauderdale

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Bankrupt Developer Forges Ahead With 48-Story Project In Fort Lauderdale

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Miami’s real estate ‘king’ tells Key Biscayne Village Council of purchase and big plans for the Sands Beach Resort

It’s one of Key Biscayne’s last connections to “yesteryear.” Now, Terra Group CEO David Martin, the proclaimed “King of Miami” when it comes to real estate development, plans to turn the Silver Sands Beach Resort, a quaint motel built in 1956 at 301 Ocean Drive, into a modern 56-residential, climate-resilient condo with a floating beach bar. The Village Manager, Steve…

Green Mills Group Proposes ‘Peace Village’ for 5088 Summit Boulevard in West Palm Beach

Fort Lauderdale-based Green Mills Group hopes to move forward with Peace Village, a four-story affordable housing development for residents 55-plus. The community would offer 104 apartments aimed at those making 70 percent of the area median income (AMI). Palm Beach County reports that a one-person household earning 80 percent of the AMI would make $51,500 a year.

US Sugar scoops up 1,300 acres in Palm Beach County for $27M

U.S. Sugar Corp. scooped up a 1,346-acre agricultural tract in west Palm Beach County for $27.2 million, marking sugar cane producers’ continued appetite for South Florida land. Clewiston-based U.S. Sugar bought the tract east of Brown’s Farm Road and north of Dairy Road in an unincorporated area of the county from an entity tied to Costa Rica-based sugar and honey…

Bank branches vanishing with acquisitions, tech changes

Technology and bank acquisitions continue to guide the conversation in the financial world as banks decide on leasing sites. “I think there are a number of reasons that the number of primary bank offices and branches have been declining, and perhaps one of the major reasons is that … community banks are consolidating, and as they consolidate, they have branches frequently in…

Video: RealPage Director of Research & Analysis, Market Analytics Presents Multifamily Market Updates & Insights

The Discussion: Navigating the Dynamics of America’s Multifamily Real Estate Market In the realm of real estate, few sectors have captured investor interest and market attention quite like multifamily properties. Offering a blend of stability, demand, and potential for growth, multifamily real estate has been a favored asset class for many investors, particularly in the…

CRE Sales Nationally Are Ticking Back Up Despite Stagnant Interest Rates

Commercial real estate sales transaction data is starting to show signs of recovery, though numbers are still well below the low-interest-rate days of the early pandemic. The number of CRE sales still dropped 8% in the first quarter of 2024 compared to a year earlier, according to an analysis from Moody’s. But that is substantially less of a drop than the last quarter of 2023…

Starwood CEO Barry Sternlicht Warns Of Commercial Real Estate’s Balance Sheet Crisis

Starwood Capital Group CEO Barry Sternlicht said commercial real estate is facing a balance sheet crisis, even though the underlying assets are performing. Borrowers will have trouble refinancing debt because interest rates have risen 500 basis points, Sternlicht said, during a May 8 interview with Bloomberg at the Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills, California.

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May 15, 2024

Video: RealPage Director of Research & Analysis, Market Analytics Presents Multifamily Market Updates & Insights

The Discussion: Navigating the Dynamics of America’s Multifamily Real Estate Market

In the realm of real estate, few sectors have captured investor interest and market attention quite like multifamily properties. Offering a blend of stability, demand, and potential for growth, multifamily real estate has been a favored asset class for many investors, particularly in the Southeastern United States. However, as with any investment landscape, understanding the nuanced dynamics of the market is paramount to making informed decisions and maximizing returns.

A recent conversation between the host of America’s Commercial Real Estate Show and Carl Whitaker, Director of Research and Analysis at RealPage, shed light on the current state of the multifamily sector nationally, touching upon key trends, challenges, and opportunities. The discussion is national in scope, thus observations can apply less to Miami and other South Florida markets.

The Current Landscape of Multifamily Property: Balancing Supply and Demand

Multifamily properties have experienced a significant rise in demand over the past several years, buoyed by factors such as population growth, urbanization trends, and shifting preferences towards renting. However, this surge in demand has been met with a corresponding increase in supply, with more multifamily units being added to the market than at any point since the mid-1980s.

Carl Whitaker notes that while demand remains robust, evidenced by record absorption rates, the sheer volume of new supply entering the market has tempered rental growth and occupancy rates in many areas. This dichotomy underscores the fundamental principle of supply and demand dynamics, where an imbalance can impact performance metrics despite strong underlying demand.

Regional Variances: Identifying Performance Hotspots

Within the multifamily landscape, certain markets stand out for their resilience and performance. Locations such as Austin, Jacksonville, and Dallas-Fort Worth have experienced above-average absorption rates, fueled by demographic trends and economic vitality. Conversely, smaller coastal Florida markets have witnessed rent cuts due to an influx of supply outpacing demand.

Atlanta, a major hub in the Southeast, reflects both the broader trends and unique challenges within the multifamily market. While demand remains strong, concerns arise regarding rent collections and occupancy levels, particularly in submarkets with a higher concentration of workforce housing.

Navigating Financing and Investment Considerations

Financing trends, including the increasing prominence of agency financing through entities like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, underscore the attractiveness of multifamily assets to investors. However, evolving cap rates and pricing dynamics necessitate a nuanced approach to valuation and investment strategy.

Whitaker highlights the importance of recognizing the uniqueness of each property and market, cautioning against broad generalizations when assessing investment opportunities. Moreover, while interest rates have risen from historic lows, they remain within a range conducive to investment activity, albeit with some headwinds.

Emerging Trends and Future Outlook

The conversation delves into emerging trends such as office-to-residential conversions, reflecting adaptive responses to evolving market conditions. While not yet widespread, such conversions could present viable opportunities in select markets, particularly those experiencing housing shortages.

Looking ahead, Whitaker identifies supply as the primary headwind facing the multifamily sector, with ongoing challenges related to lease-up properties, concessions, and pricing dynamics. However, he remains optimistic about the long-term prospects of markets in the Sun Belt and Southeast, driven by demographic shifts and sustained demand for rental housing.

Key Takeaways:

1. Supply-Demand Dynamics: Understanding the interplay between supply and demand is crucial for gauging market performance and investment potential.

2. Regional Variations: Market performance varies across regions, influenced by factors such as population growth, economic conditions, and housing supply.

3. Financing Considerations: Agency financing, evolving cap rates, and interest rate trends shape investment decisions, necessitating a comprehensive approach to valuation and risk assessment.

4. Emerging Trends: Monitoring emerging trends, such as property conversions and demographic shifts, can uncover new investment opportunities and market niches.

In conclusion, while the multifamily real estate market faces near-term challenges related to supply dynamics, long-term fundamentals remain robust. Astute investors who adapt to evolving market conditions, leverage regional insights, and maintain a disciplined investment approach stand poised to capitalize on the enduring appeal of multifamily properties in the years to come.

May 13, 2024

Miami Commercial Real Estate News May 8, 2024: 523-Foot Racquet Club Planned for Brickell; Medley Industrial Portfolio Trades for $18M; More…

Construction Begins At 41-Story Biscayne Boulevard Tower

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East Capital adds to industrial portfolio with $18M complex near Medley

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Society Wynwood Reaches Completion, Adding 348 New Apartments

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Formula 1’s Miami Grand Prix Shatters Record For TV Audience

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Short-term rental-friendly projects now represent half of South Florida’s new condo pipeline

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Short-term rental-friendly condos eating up more of Miami’s housing pie

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Atlantic Sapphire salmon farm near Homestead seeks $250 million public loan

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Construction materials costs in Miami-Dade stay level

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Miami International Airport moving to add new concourse, gates

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Miami administration building at Freedom Park wins OK

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Tricera, Lndmrk and Simkins team up for $23M Society Wynwood retail investment in mixed-use project

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New Images Of Brickell’s Mercedes Tower; 100 Units Sold In Just 4 Days

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Site Work, Phased Vertical Permits Applied For At Former Miami Arena Site

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Brickell City Centre Retail At 100% Occupancy, Again

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Miami-Dade County Reviewing Proposal For 23-Story Babylon Racquet Club At 240 SE 14th Street In Brickell, Miami

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523-Foot Babylon Racquet Club Planned In Brickell

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Estate, partner plan mixed-use project with 354 apartments in Homestead

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Brickell office slump? Nearly 3M sf planned, zero preleased

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66-Story Aston Martin Tower Reaches Completion, 99% Sold

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Miami Developer Tibor Hollo Dies At 96

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South Florida developer Tibor Hollo dies at 96

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North American Industrial Big Box Leasing Is On A Tear

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Aston Martin Residences Completes Construction At 300 Biscayne Boulevard Way In Downtown Miami

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Lease roundup: Assurant moving to Waterford, Buccan restaurant opening in Coral Gables

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GL Homes loses suit over contentious 550-home project on Calusa golf course

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Miami Mayor Francis Suarez testifies in SEC case against Rishi Kapoor

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‘Ocean One’ to Offer 371 Homes in 8 Stories at 114-222 N. Federal Highway in Boynton Beach

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‘Elan Palm Reserve’ Ends Construction at 4350 Peregrine Way in Lake Worth

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Coal Capital’s Lake Worth Beach rehab complex faces foreclosure

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Tzadik co-founder sues CEO Adam Hendry for $8M tied to multifamily deals

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“I take every opportunity to gloat”: Francis Suarez talks Miami’s growth, challenges at The Real Deal’s New York Forum

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Brightline Increases Prices Over Seat Shortage, Some Customers ‘Outraged’

Some longtime Brightline customers are “outraged” over a recently announced price increase, according to NBC6. The company is raising prices on packages that it sells to commuters. One person said they had purchased a home near a Brightline station to be able to use the train service. Brightline recently told investors that it is dealing with a shortage of capacity on some of its…

Video: RealPage Director of Research & Analysis, Market Analytics Carl Whitaker Provide Student Housing Updates & Strategies

The Discussion: Unveiling the Trends and Insights of Student Housing In the realm of real estate, few sectors offer as intriguing a landscape as student housing. On a recent episode of “America’s Commercial Real Estate Show,” the show’s host sat down with Carl Whitaker, Director of Research and Analysis at RealPage, to delve into the nuances of this dynamic market.

Video: Lisa McCracken, Head of Research & Analytics at the National Investment Center for Seniors Housing & Care (NIC) Discusses Senior Housing 2024

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Video: Trepp Chief Product Officer Lonnie Hendry Provided Update on Real Estate Financing And Distressed Loans

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Cannabis Reclassification Would Likely Boost Cash Flow, Opening Doors For CRE Moves

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Who Is Yardi — And What Does It Want With WeWork?

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AI Has Quietly Become Part Of Industrial Real Estate Development

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J.P. Morgan 2024 commercial real estate midyear outlook

The commercial real estate outlook for the second half of 2024 is largely positive—multifamily continues to perform, as do industrial and retail. But challenges could lie ahead. The higher interest rate environment appears to be here to stay, and office vacancies continue to climb. “On the income side, drivers like rents and vacancies will likely be flat to stable for most property types…

Pairing bank capital with agency execution for multifamily properties

Bank and agency loans are important sources of financing for multifamily properties and can be good solutions depending on the property and the owner’s goals. Finding the right financing solutions requires a team that understands conventional bank loans and agency loans and can help determine which option—or combination of options—is the right fit. “Both agency and bank…”

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May 8, 2024

Video: RealPage Director of Research & Analysis, Market Analytics Carl Whitaker Provides Student Housing Updates & Strategies

The Discussion: Unveiling the Trends and Insights of Student Housing

In the realm of real estate, few sectors offer as intriguing a landscape as student housing. On a recent episode of “America’s Commercial Real Estate Show,” the show’s host sat down with Carl Whitaker, Director of Research and Analysis at RealPage, to delve into the nuances of this dynamic market. From occupancy rates to rent growth, from new supply to investment strategies, their conversation provided a comprehensive overview of the state of student housing. The primary focus of this conversation discussed student housing property investment throughout the United States. Thus, a caveat for this discussion is that its observations may have varying degrees of applicability, perhaps even no applicability, to such investment in Miami.

The Resilience of Student Housing

The dialogue kicked off by addressing the prevailing trends in the student housing sector. Whitaker noted that while the sector had seen record-breaking rent growth in recent years, it was still performing remarkably well by historical standards. Despite a slight dip from the peak, student housing rent growth was holding steady at around 6%, outpacing the averages of the previous decade.

Supply and Demand Dynamics

A key factor contributing to this robust performance was the equilibrium between supply and demand. Whitaker highlighted that while demand had stabilized post-pandemic, the supply side had witnessed a notable decrease. This reduction in supply pressure, coupled with a modest increase in demand, had created a conducive environment for strong rent growth.

Occupancy Rates and Future Projections

Occupancy rates, another vital metric in the student housing landscape, were discussed next. Whitaker pointed out that while occupancy rates had dipped slightly, they remained robust, hovering around 93.5% to 94%. Looking ahead, he forecasted a gradual normalization in rent growth and occupancy rates, with figures expected to stabilize at around 2% to 3%.

Market Insights and Investment Strategies

The conversation then turned towards market insights and investment strategies. Whitaker emphasized the importance of institutional quality and brand recognition in determining the strength of a market. While population growth was a significant predictor of demand, he cautioned against oversimplifying the correlation, citing examples of non-growth states with thriving student housing markets.

Cap Rates and Sector Resilience

Addressing cap rates, Whitaker noted that while they remained slightly higher in the student housing sector compared to conventional multifamily, they had compressed over the past few years. He attributed this trend to increased institutional investor interest in the sector, predicting a potential narrowing of the gap between student and conventional cap rates in the future.

Evolution of Amenities and Resident Preferences

The discussion concluded with an exploration of amenities and resident preferences in student housing. Whitaker highlighted the sector’s role as a testing ground for property technology trends, noting that today’s student renters often foreshadowed the preferences of tomorrow’s conventional renters. From Lazy River floating pools to high-tech amenities, the evolution of student housing reflected changing consumer demands and market dynamics.

Conclusion: A Sector of Resilience and Opportunity

As the conversation drew to a close, it became evident that student housing was not just a niche market but a sector ripe with resilience and opportunity. Despite challenges and uncertainties, its ability to weather economic storms and adapt to evolving trends made it an attractive investment option for those seeking portfolio diversification.

In summary, the dialogue between the host and Carl Whitaker provided invaluable insights into the multifaceted world of student housing. From market fundamentals to investment strategies, their exchange illuminated the dynamics shaping this dynamic sector and underscored its significance within the broader real estate landscape. As the market continues to evolve, one thing remains clear: student housing stands as a testament to resilience, innovation, and opportunity in the realm of commercial real estate.

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May 7, 2024

Video: Lisa McCracken, Head of Research & Analytics at the National Investment Center for Seniors Housing & Care (NIC) Discusses Senior Housing 2024

A Discussion About Navigating the Landscape of Senior Housing

In the realm of real estate, certain sectors hold unique significance, not just in terms of investment potential, but also as indicators of societal shifts and demographic trends. One such sector is senior housing, which has been subject to intense scrutiny and adaptation, especially in recent years. A conversation between the host of America’s Commercial Real Estate Show, and Lisa McCracken, Head of Research and Analytics at the National Investment Center for Seniors Housing and Care (NIC), sheds light on the current state and future prospects of senior housing in the United States. Note that this discussion is national and scope, thus observations may apply less to South Florida.

The State of Operations

At the outset, McCracken provides a comprehensive overview of the industry’s operational performance. Despite challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic and fluctuations in market conditions, senior housing properties have shown resilience. McCracken highlights key performance indicators such as occupancy rates and absorption levels, indicating a gradual recovery trajectory. Notably, she mentions a resurgence in demand, propelled by demographic shifts as the Baby Boomer generation ages.

Market Dynamics and Trends

The conversation delves into the intricacies of market dynamics and trends shaping the senior housing landscape. McCracken discusses the interplay between supply and demand, noting a decline in new construction starts and a lengthening of the construction cycle. This trend, coupled with the imminent surge in demand, underscores the potential for a significant supply-demand gap in the coming years.

Challenges and Opportunities

Addressing challenges facing the industry, McCracken emphasizes the critical role of labor and wages. The discussion underscores the importance of workforce recruitment and retention strategies amidst labor shortages and wage pressures. Furthermore, McCracken highlights the nuanced nature of distress situations in senior housing, categorizing them into financial distress, operational distress, and property-level stress.

Strategies for Success

McCracken offers insights into strategies for operators to navigate the evolving landscape successfully. She advocates for collaborative owner-operator relationships, emphasizing shared goals and outcomes. Additionally, she underscores the importance of proactive marketing and technological innovation in reaching and engaging potential residents and their families.

Looking Ahead

The conversation concludes with a glimpse into the future of senior housing and the role of industry events such as NIC’s annual fall conference in driving innovation and collaboration. McCracken reiterates the sector’s resilience and potential for growth, tempered by the need for proactive adaptation to changing market dynamics.

Final Thoughts

The dialogue between the host and Lisa McCracken provides a comprehensive understanding of the senior housing sector’s current challenges and future prospects. Amidst demographic shifts, labor shortages, and evolving consumer preferences, senior housing operators and investors must remain agile and innovative to capitalize on emerging opportunities and navigate potential obstacles effectively. As the industry continues to evolve, collaboration, data-driven decision-making, and a focus on resident-centric care will be instrumental in shaping its trajectory.

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May 7, 2024

Video: Professor of Real Estate at the University of Florida David Ling Discusses (UF’s) Real Estate Degree Programs

The Conversation: Exploring the Foundation of Real Estate Education

In the vast landscape of commercial real estate, education stands as a cornerstone for success. The conversation between the host of America’s Commercial Real Estate Show and David Ling, Professor of Real Estate at the University of Florida, delves deep into the significance of education and training in the realm of commercial real estate.

The University of Florida boasts a rich history in real estate education, dating back to 1945. Their flagship program, the Nathan S. Collier Master of Science in Real Estate, was established in 1980 to address the growing need for specialized training in the field. David Ling, in his discussion with Michael, sheds light on the structure and offerings of their real estate programs.

At the University of Florida, students have access to both undergraduate and graduate programs. The undergraduate real estate minor caters to around 150 students annually, while the master’s program offers two tiers: the traditional program and the combined program. The combined program, a unique offering, allows undergraduates to seamlessly transition into the master’s program, providing a head start in their real estate education.

A key aspect of the University of Florida’s real estate education is its immersive, full-time in-residence program. Students devote themselves entirely to the program for ten months, gaining comprehensive knowledge and practical skills under the guidance of experienced faculty.

When it comes to career paths, the real estate industry offers a diverse range of opportunities, from development and brokerage to mortgage lending and private equity. While development often garners initial interest due to its visibility, students frequently explore various avenues within the field, guided by their experiences and exposure during the program.

David emphasizes the importance of adaptability and openness to different career paths, especially in today’s dynamic job market. While traditionally high-demand roles may face uncertainty, exploring alternative options can lead to rewarding opportunities.

In terms of job placement, the University of Florida has maintained a stellar record, typically securing positions for all students upon graduation. However, David acknowledges the challenges posed by the current market conditions, with some students experiencing delays in securing employment. Despite this, the university’s strong industry connections and dedicated support services ensure that students are well-equipped to navigate the job market.

The conversation also touches upon the recognition and accolades received by the University of Florida’s real estate program. From high rankings in specialized master’s programs to widespread acclaim for textbooks authored by faculty members, the program continues to uphold its reputation for excellence.

As the discussion draws to a close, David highlights the program’s value proposition, emphasizing the opportunities for networking, mentorship, and lifelong learning that extend far beyond graduation. The University of Florida’s real estate education not only equips students with essential knowledge and skills but also fosters a supportive community that nurtures their professional growth.

In conclusion, the conversation between Michael and David Ling underscores the pivotal role of education in shaping successful careers in commercial real estate. With a steadfast commitment to excellence and innovation, the University of Florida’s real estate program continues to empower students to thrive in a dynamic and competitive industry.

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May 5, 2024

Miami Commercial Real Estate News May 1, 2024: Brickell Office Tower Hits Market at $500M; Hialeah MXU Project Approved; $1B Aston Martin Tower Completed; More…

Nuveen’s 701 Brickell office tower hits the market for over $500M

Nuveen Real Estate listed its 701 Brickell office tower in Miami for more than $500 million, marking at least the fourth property in the financial district to hit the market since the fall. New York-based Nuveen’s 33-story bayfront tower, named for its address at 701 Brickell Avenue, is more than 90 percent leased, according to a source. Tenants include law firm Holland & Knight…

Nuveen Seeking More Than $500M For Brickell Office Tower

Nuveen Real Estate is looking to sell 701 Brickell Ave. less than a year after it offloaded another nearby office building in Miami’s financial district. Nuveen, the real estate investment arm of the Teachers Insurance and Annuity Association of America, is looking for more than $500M for the 685K SF office tower in the heart of Brickell. The property is around 92% occupied by high…

Foundation Work Progresses On The Site Of Miami’s First Supertall Skyscraper

Foundation work at 300 Biscayne Boulevard, the site of the forthcoming Waldorf Astoria Hotel & Residences, has reached a significant milestone. This 100-story supertall tower, designed by Sieger Suarez Architects in collaboration with Carlos Ott, is poised to transform the downtown Miami skyline. Developed by Property Markets Group in partnership with Greybrook Realty Partners…

Codina-led JV scores approval for Hialeah mixed-use project

A Codina Partners-led joint venture nabbed the initial green light for a planned transformation of a former Sears store, an outparcel and a parking lot in Hialeah into a mixed-use project. The Hialeah City Council voted unanimously on first reading last week to approve Westland Plaza, a planned complex of 815 apartments, 15 townhomes, roughly 32,624 square feet of commercial…

Major developers are converting South Florida malls into mixed-use projects

Electra America and BH Group plan to tear down a big box store on an outparcel of Cutler Bay’s Southland Mall later this year, after the current tenant, Ross Dress For Less, moves into a space in the indoor shopping center. The move will jumpstart the first phase of the joint venture’s $1 billion makeover of Southland Mall into Southplace City Center, a mixed-use project that will…

The Weekly Dirt: South Florida developers go shopping at the mall

At least seven redevelopments of indoor malls are in the works, fueled by the demand for housing. Electra America, BH Group, Aimco, Codina Partners, Midtown Equities, Jericho and Kimco Realty are all playing in the space, Francisco Alvarado reports. It’s a win-win for struggling malls and developers looking to cash in on opportunities to fill the need for housing — a need that was…

Miami Worldcenter to get 53-story condos-and-hotel tower

A developer is bringing a new mixed-use residential tower that will include a hotel and outdoor dining to Miami Worldcenter. Miami A/I Parcel 3 Subsidiary LLC has presented a plan for Miami Worldcenter Block C East at 155 NE 10th St., in the northern edge of the booming Miami Worldcenter District. This latest project will be a 53-story mixed-use tower with a 280-key hotel…

Henry Pino’s Alta lands $68M construction loan for short-term rental condo near Miami River

Alta Development scored a $68 million construction loan for a 283-unit short-term rental-friendly condo near the Miami River. The Kendall-based firm plans the 16-story River District 14 on the 1.3-acre site at 1451 Northwest 14th Street in Miami, according to Alta principal Henry Pino. Boynton Beach-based Forman Capital is the lender. River District 14 is more than 70…

Allen Morris scores approval for once-controversial Ponce Park Residences

After a number of rejections and opposition from neighbors, the Allen Morris Company secured approval for a downsized version of its plans for Ponce Park Residences in Coral Gables that’s been years in the making. The latest version of its plans call for a nine-story building with 57 luxury condos at 3000 Ponce de Leon Boulevard, across from the major mixed-use Plaza Coral…

Fuse sells pair of unfinished Coconut Grove buildings seized from developers

Lender Fuse Group sold a pair of unfinished Coconut Grove buildings tied to defaulted loans from two developers. Fort Lauderdale-based Fuse sold the building shells at 2961 and 2967 Bird Avenue in Miami to an entity led by Patrizio De Brasi for $8.1 million, according to records. De Brasi took out an $8.2 million loan from Fuse. The deal comes after the properties were tied…

Homestead Will See Construction of 1,100 Unit Mixed-Use Development

The Homestead Commission is discussing a large development which will be known as Sandero Landing. This is set to have 1,100 units, along with restaurants and stores. The development will be located on 90 acres of land. The project in question will be built on 90 acres on South 328th Street. The goal is to create a place where many people can live, work and play. There will be office…

Wynwood Arcade being redesigned as Wynwood Jungle

An old established building in the booming Wynwood Arts District is being reborn – again. The City of Miami’s Wynwood neighborhood continues its evolution from industrial warehouse district to a new and vibrant mixed-use neighborhood peppered with street art. The former warehouse at 50 NW 24th St., first reborn as the Wynwood Arcade, is being repurposed once more…

Coto family, Aston Martin complete $1B branded condo tower in downtown Miami

A marching band began playing “Celebration” by Kool & the Gang at the ribbon-cutting ceremony marking the opening of Aston Martin Residences, a waterfront luxury condo tower just completed in downtown Miami. The Coto family, executives from Aston Martin, architect Rodolfo Miani of Buenos Aires-based Bodas Miani Anger, Cervera Real Estate leaders and Miami Mayor…

‘It was heaven. It’s gone.’ Grove Isle residents say Miami broke laws to let tower rise

One of the serene pleasures of Wendy Gordon’s daily routine was sitting on her Grove Isle balcony and watching the sun rise over Biscayne Bay, framed by Key Biscayne and the downtown skyline. No more. The sun is blotted out by a new 91-foot tall, stadium-like condominium that curves around the north end of the island and shrouds Gordon’s Building 3 in shadow…

174-Unit ‘Cassia’ Planned for 4011 Salzedo Street in Coral Gables

Cassia, a 12-story upscale housing complex, is slated for Coral Gables. Our sources indicate that the building will host 174 condos, with homes measuring 662 square feet to 1,439 square feet each. The furnished residences will span one-bedroom to three-bedroom floorplans, with the cost of ownership starting in the $700,000s. The most expensive units hover around $1.8M…

New Renderings Revealed For Okan Tower At 555 North Miami Avenue In Downtown Miami

New renderings have been revealed for Okan Tower, a 70-story mixed-use building under construction at 555 North Miami Avenue in Downtown Miami. Designed by Behar Font & Partners and developed by Okan Group, the 902-foot-tall, 914,124-square-foot structure will yield 399 residences, a 316-key hotel, along with 64,000 square feet of ‘Class A’ office space…

Miami Worldcenter Was Almost A ‘Dinosaur.’ Now It’s A $6B Juggernaut

The Miami Worldcenter team had just broken ground on its debut tower when its plans began to fall apart. Macy’s and Bloomingdale’s were set to anchor the first phase of the 27-acre, $6B development in the heart of Miami, but in mid-2015, the company’s stock was cratering as Americans shifted to shopping online. The 60-story Paramount Miami Worldcenter condo…

Crunch Fitness founderDoug Levine sells three Wynwood buildings for $24M

Crunch Fitness founder Doug Levine sold a trio of commercial buildings in Miami’s Wynwood for $23.5 million, roughly $6 million below his asking price, The Real Deal has learned. Wynwood 126 acquired the 0.7-acre portfolio that can be redeveloped into a mixed-use project with a hotel or multifamily component, according to Tony Arellano and Devlin Marinoff with Dwntwn…

Gucci opens at Dadeland Mall & Other South Florida Leasing News

Gucci opened a boutique in Dadeland Mall. The luxury fashion brand’s 6,000-square-foot store features handbags and accessories, including items from the Gucci Valigeria collection, according to the tenant’s news release. Simon Property Group owns Dadeland Mall at 7535 Southwest 88th Street in the Kendall neighborhood of unincorporated Miami-Dade County.

FAA Permits Issued For 33-Story Residential Tower At 2411 Laguna Circle In North Miami

The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) has issued permits for One Park Tower by Turnberry, an imminent 33-story residential building located at 2411 Laguna Circle within the 184-acre master-planned community of SoLé Mia in North Miami. Conceived by Arquitectonica and developed by the Aventura-based Turnberry, the 370-foot-tall structure will sit south…

Developers propose 44-unit multifamily project in Goulds

A trio of developers want to build a 44-unit multifamily building with workforce apartments in Goulds, marking continued interest in south Miami-Dade County’s residential market.Javier Sanchez, Marianna Parra Villegas and Adriana Ortega, through an affiliate, propose the six-story Horseshoe Cay Apartments on a 0.3-acre site at 21839 Southwest 118th Court in an unincorporated…

44-Unit ‘The Horseshoe Cay Apartments’ Proposed for 21839 SW 118th Court in Miami

Horseshoe Cay LLC secured a .34-acre parcel for $1.5 million in 2023. Now, it has filed a pre-application with Miami city officials for a six-story apartment complex. The Horseshoe Cay Apartments would offer 44 apartments: 17 one-bedroom units and 27 two-bedroom units. Homes would measure about 545 square feet to 870 square feet each. The South Florida Business…

Developer proposes 23-story mixed-use tower with racket sports courts in Brickell

A developer wants to build a 23-story mixed-use tower with racket sports courts on the former Babylon Apartments site in Miami’s Brickell. The plan comes five years after a contentious proposal for a 24-story building on the property fizzled amid neighbors’ opposition. Yet, the zoning has changed since then. In February, Miami-Dade County included the development site…

First Standalone Four Seasons Condo Planned for 2699 S Bayshore Drive in Coconut Grove

Four Seasons Private Residences Coconut Grove is slated to be the luxury brand’s first standalone venture in the state, offering “legendary service and experiences outside of a hotel or resort.” The 20-story tower will offer 70 homes, four of which are penthouses. Our sources indicate that standard floorplans range from one-bedroom to two-bedroom models, measuring 2,000 to 3,980 sf…

Miami commissioners reduce fines for Château Group’s downtown Miami dev site

Château Group is getting an $800,000 reduction in fines accrued at a downtown Miami development site where a tenant operated an illegal parking lot. The Miami City Commission voted on Thursday to slash $1.1 million in daily accrued fines to $300,000 stemming from a former tenant at 666 Biscayne Boulevard operating a parking lot without a certificate of use from the city.

‘In a holding pattern’: South Florida apartment developers pause projects

Developer Dan Kodsi isn’t rushing to build multifamily projects in South Florida. Two years ago, he jumped into the market with proposals for an apartment tower in Aventura and another in Miami. Now, he’s reevaluating the developments and tweaking both. “It’s too expensive to build [high-rise] apartments today,” Kodsi said. “The margins are very razor tight…

Prologis Expects Lower Average Occupancy Nationally in The Year Ahead

Skittish customers determined to keep a tight rein on costs are holding back on leasing additional logistics space, executives of Prologis reported in their 1Q 2024 earnings conference call. “While operating conditions are healthy in the majority of our markets, customers remain focused on controlling costs, which is weighing on decision making and the pace of leasing,” Prologis…

MisterO1 Extraordinary Pizza Signs 10-Year Retail Lease in Pinecrest

MMG Equity Partners’ retail shopping center in Pinecrest, Pinecrest Shoppes, will be the new home of MisterO1 Extraordinary Pizza. The 2,730-square-foot, newly renovated space (formerly occupied by Mayweather Fit) required a full build-out. Pinecrest Shoppes is located in Miami-Dade’s busiest retail corridor. Its affluent and densely populated trade area includes some…

Preserve or Tear Down: The dilemma of old vs. new plagues Belle Meade residents

Belle Meade is at a turning point in its long-winding history, but as is the case with most evolutions, it’s being preceded by a war. There are two camps developing in the Upper East Side neighborhood: those who want to preserve the eclectic character of the community, and those who want to preserve their rights as property owners to remodel and rebuild as they wish. Surely, there…

Pharmaceuticals take off as a top Miami export

As Miami International Airport continues to grow its cargo, pharmaceuticals fly high among its top commodities. “Over the last, I want to say three, four years, we’ve had… [about] four straight record-breaking years in just cargo overall,” said Ralph Cutié, director of the Miami-Dade Aviation Department. “Back during the pandemic we had, I think it was a little bit over 2.3 million…

Assurant To Relocate In One Of Miami’s Largest Leases Of 2024 So Far

Assurant is moving its Miami offices from the sprawling 79-acre campus it owns to a 78K SF lease that marks the second-largest office deal in the city so far this year. The insurance giant is slated to move into three floors at 701 Waterford Way in the Waterford Business District in June 2025 after listing its campus west of Cutler Bay for sale nearly a year ago. The Waterford…

Tri-Rail chugging toward tri-county express trips

Tri-Rail is closing in on an express service with limited stops between downtown Miami and West Palm Beach, the first Tri-Rail into downtown where passengers won’t have to change trains. The request for a single express train morning and night was on track for South Florida Regional Transportation Authority board action, executive director David Dech told the Citizens…

Miami Beach’s oldest structure, Collins Canal, may get historic label

Miami Beach’s oldest manmade structure, the Collins Canal, is flowing slowly toward historic designation. The flow of state grants could follow. The Miami Beach City Commission referred historic branding to a May 1 meeting of the Land Use and Sustainability Committee. The Historic Preservation Board initiated the designation talks, said Deborah Tacket…

City of Miami Sides with Arts Groups in Billboards Vote

City of Miami commissioners voted 3-2 April 25 to ban future construction of oversized, digital billboards in the municipality. But to be clear, residents will still stumble upon these very structures during their downtown walks or drives. The vote puts the city one step closer to rescinding an ordinance passed in 2023 that allows 100-foot LED billboards spanning 1,800 square feet…

46-Story Tower Designed By FSMY Architects + Planners Proposed For 100 NW 7th Avenue In Fort Lauderdale

On April 23, the Development Review Committee in Fort Lauderdale began reviewing plans for a new 46-story multi-family development at 100 Northwest 7th Avenue, situated just a few blocks east of Brightline’s Fort Lauderdale Station. The project, designed by Josh Bailey of the local architecture firm FSMY Architects & Planners and developed by Miller Property Invest…

Steve Ross’ Related sells W Fort Lauderdale to Blackstone for $98M

After holding onto the W Fort Lauderdale for more than a decade, Steve Ross’ Related Companies sold the 346-key oceanfront hotel for $97.7 million. An affiliate of New York-based Blackstone, led by CEO Stephen Schwarzman, acquired the hotel portion of the 3.8-acre property at 401 North Fort Lauderdale Beach Boulevard, records show. The investment giant paid $282,225…

Proposal Unveiled for Redevelopment of West Palm Beach Family Church Site Featuring Two Condo Towers and New Church Facilities

Related Companies, headed by Stephen M. Ross, and Frisbie Group have partnered with the Family Church to envision a transformative redevelopment project in downtown West Palm Beach. Designed by New York’s Kohn Pedersen Fox Associates, the project calls for two condominium towers of 28 and 32 stories on the church’s expansive 9.6-acre site at 1101 South Flagler Drive…

Steve Ross’ Related, Frisbie propose 190-unit condo project on West Palm church site

Steve Ross’ Related Companies and a partner propose a pair of condo towers with a total of 190 units on a church site near downtown West Palm Beach. New York-based Related and Palm Beach-based Frisbie Group want to build a 28-story building and a 32-story tower on the Family Church property at 1101 South Flagler Drive, while preserving the main worship hall and…

Forté on Flagler Tops Off At 1309 South Flagler Drive in West Palm Beach

Construction has topped off on Forté on Flagler, a 25-story residential building at 1309 South Flagler Drive in West Palm Beach. Designed by Bernardo Fort-Brescia of Arquitectonica with interiors by Jean-Louis Deniot and developed by a joint venture between Two Roads Development and Alpha Blue Ventures, the approximately 300-foot-tall structure will yield 41 residences…

South Florida’s branded condo boom arrives in West Palm Beach

Behind the hedges in Palm Beach hide meticulously maintained architectural samples of old-world opulence. Regency, Mediterranean and Georgian-style estates, many of them built for the heirs to America’s early industrial fortunes, blend into palm trees and lush tropical landscaping. They’re understated, but commanding. The condominiums that sprang from the sand in the…

Burger King to Invest $300M to Remodel 1,100 US Restaurants by 2028

Burger King plans to invest $300 million to modernize 1,100 U.S. restaurants by 2028, according to parent company Restaurant Brands International Inc. (NYSE: QSR). Each restaurant will be renovated in a new layout, called Sizzle, that emphasizes flexibility as well as the digital, pick-up and drive-thru experiences. In addition to the planned renovations, the investment will also…

How Dollar Strength Can Affect Industrial Commercial Real Estate

Reshoring manufacturing has become a trend since the pandemic, as reported by outlets like CNBC, and it all comes down to supply chains. But those in industrial CRE who could benefit from it are learning that keeping up with foreign exchange issues and the current strength of the dollar can be as important as monitoring interest rates. During the pandemic, supply chains broke.

Video: Hessam Nadji discusses bright spots and challenges in commercial real estate

The Discussion: Navigating Storm Clouds and Bright Spots: Insights on Commercial Real Estate As the economic landscape continually shifts, discussions surrounding the commercial real estate market are more pertinent than ever. Recently, on a segment dedicated to real estate, Hessam Nadji, CEO of a large brokerage, provided invaluable insights into the sector’s current state…

Report: Red Lobster Wants To Reel In A Buyer Amid Debt Restructuring And Potential Bankruptcy

Red Lobster has reportedly been fishing for a potential buyer as it considers debt restructuring options that include possible Chapter 11 bankruptcy. The struggling seafood chain sought a buyer in recent months, people familiar with the matter told CNBC. A potential buyer was lined up but the deal fell through, the outlet reported. Red Lobster has been trying to break some contracts…

Amazon Logistics Manager Says EVs Are ‘Past The Tipping Point’ And Industrial CRE Needs To Take Notice

Amazon has been building out infrastructure for electric vehicle fleets over the last two years, and it has reached a turning point that industrial real estate developers and owners should take note of, one of the firm’s senior managers said Tuesday. “The [electric] vans are coming … I believe we’re past the tipping point,” Mark Purcell, a senior construction manager with Amazon…

Self-Storage Slide Continues With Declining Rents, Projects Abandoned

Self-storage, an early pandemic wunderkind in commercial real estate, continued its steady decline in March, with rents dropping 4.5% annually, according to Yardi Matrix. Rents hit $16.25 per SF, showing declines for both climate-controlled and non-climate-controlled properties, the company found. REITs dropped their rates to attract new customers and smaller operators…

CRE Industry Nationally Less Optimistic About Cap Rates, Interest Rate Cuts

Optimism levels about the impact of mortgage and cap rates on commercial real estate are mixed, according to a new survey from CRE Finance Council, with 31% expecting a positive impact and 37% foreseeing a negative one. This marks a shift from the previous quarter’s more optimistic 48% reading, according to the 1Q 2024 Board of Governors Sentiment Index survey.

Republic First Bank Seized With $1.7B Of CRE Loans On Its Books

Republic First Bank, which had $1.7B in commercial real estate and construction loans on its books, was taken over by regulators and sold this weekend. The Philadelphia-based bank was shut down by the Pennsylvania Department of Banking and Securities on Friday, the first regional bank failure this year. It had $6B in total assets. Fulton Financial bought its deposits and assets…

Yardi To Become WeWork’s Majority Owner In $450M Bankruptcy Exit Plan

Attorneys for WeWork revealed in a Monday morning bankruptcy hearing that under its plan to exit bankruptcy, property management software provider Yardi Systems would become the majority owner of the coworking titan. Under the terms of WeWork’s proposed financing deal to exit bankruptcy, the company’s senior lenders agreed to inject WeWork with $50M to keep…

Video: Trepp Chief Product Officer Lonnie Hendry Provided Update on Real Estate Financing And Distressed Loans

In the dynamic world of commercial real estate, staying ahead requires not only understanding the current market trends but also engaging in insightful conversations with industry experts. Recently, a conversation on America’s Commercial Real Estate Show with Lonnie Hendry, Chief Product Officer at Trepp, provided a deep dive into the current state of commercial…

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May 1, 2024

Video: Developer Bruce Ratner says the real problem with commercial real estate nationally is people not coming to work

The Conversation: Navigating Real Estate and Cancer Detection: A Conversation with an Expert

In a recent interview on CNBC’s Squawk Box, the conversation veered from the challenges facing commercial real estate nationally, and perhaps particularly in New York, to the critical importance of early cancer detection. The dialogue between the host and Bruce Ratner, a New York City real estate developer and former minority owner of the Brooklyn Nets that is deeply involved in cancer advocacy, shed light on two vastly different but equally significant realms.

The discussion kicked off with an assessment of the commercial real estate landscape, where the guest wasted no time in painting a grim picture. He highlighted staggering vacancy rates, signaling a fundamental shift in the nature of work, with remote and hybrid models becoming the norm rather than the exception. Despite optimistic murmurs from some quarters, he firmly asserted that the sector was far from recovery.

As the conversation flowed, the focus shifted to potential investment strategies in the face of this downturn. The guest’s insights into the slow adjustment of interest rates and the gradual decline of commercial real estate values offered a sobering perspective for investors considering their next move.

Transitioning from the world of brick and mortar to matters of health, the dialogue took an unexpected turn toward cancer detection. The guest’s personal connection to the cause, fueled by the loss of his brother to cancer, gave depth to his advocacy for early detection initiatives and led to him co-authoring the book, Early Detection: Catching Cancer When It’s Curable. Drawing from his experiences and expertise, he emphasized the stark contrast in survival rates between early and advanced stages of cancer.

The conversation delved into the various methods of cancer screening, from colonoscopies to low-dose CT scans, highlighting the critical importance of early intervention. The guest’s mention of a revolutionary blood test capable of detecting multiple cancers at early stages hinted at a promising future in cancer diagnostics.

In weaving together discussions on real estate and healthcare, the interview provided a nuanced exploration of two spheres deeply intertwined with human lives and livelihoods. It underscored the necessity of adaptability and foresight in navigating both the ever-evolving real estate market and the relentless battle against cancer. As the conversation concluded, it left viewers with a renewed sense of urgency to address these pressing issues and explore avenues for positive change.

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April 30, 2024

Video: Trepp Chief Product Officer Lonnie Hendry Provided Update on Real Estate Financing And Distressed Loans

Navigating the Currents of Commercial Real Estate: Insights from a Conversation

In the dynamic world of commercial real estate, staying ahead requires not only understanding the current market trends but also engaging in insightful conversations with industry experts. Recently, a conversation on America’s Commercial Real Estate Show with Lonnie Hendry, Chief Product Officer at Trepp, provided a deep dive into the current state of commercial real estate financing and distress market movements, covering such topics as delinquencies, new loan issuance, transaction volume, interest rates, and strategies working for commercial real estate lenders and borrowers. Note that this discussion is national in scope, thus some observations may apple little or not at all to Miami area commercial real estate. Let’s unpack some key takeaways from the discussion.

1. Shifting Trends in Distress Market:
Lonnie Hendry noted a notable inflection point in the distress narrative within the commercial real estate market. While distress had been a prevailing theme in recent times, there’s now a pushback against this narrative. Transaction velocity is picking up, and new origination loan issues are on the rise. Despite challenges in sectors like office and some multifamily properties, there’s a sense that certain markets have bottomed out, signaling a readiness for recovery.

2. Delinquency Rates and Market Activity:
Surprisingly, March saw a slight decrease in CMBS delinquency rates, reversing the trend of increasing delinquencies. This decline, albeit modest, hints at a potential shift in market dynamics. While distressed assets still exist, there’s optimism that the worst may be over. The market is showing resilience, with lenders becoming more proactive in addressing their exposure to distressed assets.

3. Lender Strategies and Relationship Building:
Amid market uncertainties, lenders are adopting strategies focused on proactive risk management. They’re evaluating distressed loans and working with borrowers to find viable solutions, including workouts, note sales, or short sales. Building strong relationships with borrowers during challenging times can be crucial for lenders. Engaging in transparent communication and understanding the unique needs of each party can lead to mutually beneficial outcomes.

4. Interest Rate Environment:
There’s a cautious outlook regarding interest rates. While some anticipate potential rate reductions, others believe that rates may remain relatively stable. Regardless of interest rate movements, it’s essential for investors to focus on the broader market fundamentals and not solely base investment decisions on rate projections. Real estate investments are long-term endeavors, and factors beyond interest rates should be considered.

5. Resilience of Commercial Real Estate:
The conversation highlighted the resilience of the commercial real estate market. Despite challenges, opportunities abound for savvy investors and lenders. Understanding local market dynamics, fostering relationships, and adapting to changing conditions are key strategies for navigating through uncertain times.

In essence, the conversation underscored the importance of staying informed, adaptable, and proactive in the ever-evolving landscape of commercial real estate. By leveraging insights from industry experts and maintaining a forward-thinking approach, stakeholders can position themselves for success amidst market fluctuations.

Regarding Trepp

Trepp asserts its position as the industry’s largest commercially available database of securitized mortgages, representing just one facet of their value proposition to clients today. They maintain that only Trepp provides the timeliness, accuracy, and breadth of specialized information necessary for clients to make informed decisions across diverse business lines. Trepp claims that their institutional-grade analytics platform offers a complete picture, featuring multiple reference points for debt, equity, operating, and market performance analysis.

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April 29, 2024

Video: Hessam Nadji discusses bright spots and challenges in commercial real estate

The Discussion: Navigating Storm Clouds and Bright Spots: Insights on Commercial Real Estate

As the economic landscape continually shifts, discussions surrounding the commercial real estate market are more pertinent than ever. Recently, on a segment dedicated to real estate, Hessam Nadji, CEO of a large brokerage, provided invaluable insights into the sector’s current state, highlighting both challenges and areas of resilience. The discussion is about commercial real estate in the United States at large, thus observations can apply less or even not at all to South Florida commercial property.

The conversation began with a broad question about the sector’s overall health and resilience. Naji emphasized the importance of separating property fundamentals from capital market dynamics. Despite concerns about tightening spreads and debt worries, Naji underscored that property fundamentals remain robust. Across most sectors, occupancy rates are high, with only the office sector facing notable challenges, particularly in urban areas where vacancy rates are elevated due to evolving work trends.

Nadji identified pockets of overbuilding in certain segments such as apartments and warehouse distribution facilities, driven largely by the growth of e-commerce. However, these concerns are not indicative of broader performance issues across the industry. He noted that the primary drag on performance comes from older urban office spaces, where vacancy rates are highest due to shifts towards hybrid work models.

Moving to the capital markets, Nadji pointed out the lingering gap between buyers and sellers, coupled with reticence from lending institutions to actively engage in the market. This hesitancy contributes to ongoing challenges, particularly in terms of valuation and sentiment within the sector. Nadji acknowledged that market sentiment is closely tied to Federal Reserve expectations and interest rate movements, with fluctuations in these factors directly impacting stock prices and overall market sentiment. “There’s a direct correlation between the groups, the entire sector’s valuation movement, and Fed sentiment. We saw a big run-up in the sector’s valuations late last year when interest rates were coming in. The 10-year Treasury had peaked around 5% and then boom, all the way back down to 4% and you saw the stock prices go up accordingly and when the Fed basically changed its mind again given the inflation readings of the last couple of weeks coming in hotter than expected and now the notion of delaying the easing cycle you see the stocks are under pressure again so there’s a direct correlation between Fed expectations and interest rates.”

In response to questions about client priorities, Nadji highlighted a noteworthy shift in investor behavior. While there is anticipation for a potential easing cycle from the Federal Reserve, investors are not solely reliant on this event. Instead, they are increasingly drawn to properties that offer competitive pricing relative to replacement costs. This shift indicates a growing recognition of the intrinsic value within the market, independent of monetary policy shifts.

Ultimately, Nadji’s insights provide a nuanced understanding of the current commercial real estate landscape. While challenges persist, particularly in segments like urban office spaces, there are bright spots emerging, fueled by resilient property fundamentals and evolving investor strategies. As the market continues to adapt to changing economic conditions, navigating storm clouds while capitalizing on opportunities will be crucial for industry stakeholders.

In conclusion, the conversation with Hessam Nadji serves as a valuable resource for anyone seeking to understand the complexities of the commercial real estate market in today’s dynamic environment.

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April 25, 2024

Miami Commercial Real Estate News April 24, 2024: Brickell Dolce & Gabbana Dev Site Trades for $60M; Miramar Office Properties Sold at 45% Loss; More…

Michael Stern pays $61M for Brickell site of Dolce & Gabbana supertall

As questions swirl about the future of Michael Stern’s Brooklyn supertall, the developer appears to be all in on Miami. Stern’s JDS Development Group paid $61.2 million for the half-acre site at 888 Brickell Avenue, where the firm plans a Dolce & Gabbana-branded condo-hotel tower, property records show. A company tied to Grupo Mezerhane, led by Mashud Mezzerhane…

New Renderings Revealed For Miami Tower Vying To Be Among Florida’s Tallest

The 70-story Okan Tower, which dwarfs all of Florida’s current skyscrapers, is being built at 542 N. Miami Ave., four blocks from the Kaseya Center. The tower, which is slated to deliver in 2027, will have a 316-key hotel and 236 short-term rental condos both with Hilton branding, 163 traditional condos and 64K SF of office space. The tower is the first U.S. development…

Related Group and GTIS Partners Announce Collaboration with Viceroy on 45-Story Brickell Condo Tower

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ASG Equities Sells Retail Property in Miami’s Design District for $14M

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Gindi’s ASG sells another Miami Design District building to Craig Robins and partners

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Apple’s Coral Gables office hub becomes year’s biggest lease deal in Miami-Dade

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Fleischer Studios for fabled cartoons may be labeled historic

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Multinationals influx spurs Coral Gables economy

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Grupo Frali buys Edgewater dev site to complete full block assemblage

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Piece by piece, Coral Gables’ historic city hall restored

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Coral Gables’ mobility hub is immobile

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Oak Row Equities Officially Breaks Ground On 2600 Biscayne Boulevard In Edgewater

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Atlantic Pacific Cos. Breaks Ground on Affordable Housing Complex ‘Culmer Place’ at 800 NW Fifth Avenue in Miami

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After yearslong litigation, former lender wins lawsuit tied to Miami Design District dev site

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Tecnoglass plans new Morningside HQ after acquiring dev site

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Haimov lists Miami Gardens site for $25M, abandoning development plans

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UHealth’s Largest Outpatient Medical Facility Tops Off at SoLé Mia In North Miami

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Foundation Pour Is Complete For 70-Story Okan Tower At 555 North Miami Avenue In Downtown Miami

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‘Palma Miami Beach Residences’ Set for 666 71st Street in Miami Beach

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The Gallery at West Brickell with 465 Apartments Topped Off, Being Painted

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Evictions surge at Hialeah’s luxury apartment projects Shoma Village, Pura Vida and Manor

Residents in predominantly working-class Hialeah are feeling the squeeze from soaring apartment rents, and some are getting slapped with evictions, following a wave of high-end multifamily construction in the city. The development spree has led to a surge in rent, now ranging from $2,050 for a studio to $3,765 for a three-bedroom unit, pricing out residents in the city where…

$100M The Julia Residences in Allapattah Reaches Completion, Already 35% Leased

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Office Tower Inspired By The World’s Top Luxury Hotels Launching In Miami

Aman, Rosewood, Oetker and Four Seasons Hotels & Resorts, as many luxury travelers know, are regarded as the top ultra-luxury hotel brands in the world with exquisite rooms, unbending service and amenities that get more over-the-top by the day. Now, a developer in Miami, Robert Rivani, the founder and CEO of the commercial investment firm Black Lion, has plans…

Rishi Kapoor’s Miami Beach co-living project dev site heads to auction

A Miami Beach property where Rishi Kapoor planned a co-living condo project will be sold at auction. Miami Federal Judge Jacqueline Becerra on Monday authorized the hiring of auctioneer Lamar Fisher and his eponymous firm to sell two commercial buildings at 1234 and 1260 Washington Avenue owned by an affiliate of Urbin, a subsidiary of Location Ventures, the Coral Gables…

Tijuana Flats Closes Nine South Florida Locations After Bankruptcy Filing

Central Florida-based restaurant Tijuana Flats has announced it is filing for bankruptcy and has closed 11 of its restaurants, including a whopping nine of them in South Florida. According to a press release, the Tex-Mex brand has brought in new ownership, Flatheads LLC, with a plan of “revitalizing its restaurants and reinvigorating the customer experience.” The release notes…

51-Story Downtown Miami Tower Gale Hotel & Residences Opening Soon

Get ready for hundreds more short and long-term residents in Downtown Miami, with the 51-story 601 Miami tower said to be opening shortly. Stayntouch, which provides hotel property management software, said in a press release yesterday that the 688-room Gale Miami Hotel and Residences is planned open on May 1. As of this morning, rooms are available on Booking.com…

JLL Secures $100M Loan for Warehouse Portfolio in South Florida

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Black Lion Pays $63M for Miami Beach Office Building

Black Lion Investment Group has made its first office acquisition in Miami Beach, Fla., purchasing The Lincoln at 1691 Michigan Ave. for $62.5 million, with plans to redevelop the mixed-use property into a luxury office concept it’s calling ‘Class X.’ The seller was Clarion Partners, according to CommercialEdge data. Black Lion Investment Group plans to transform The Lincoln…

Iconic Moore Building in Miami’s Design District Reopens With New Restaurant and Members-Only Club

The iconic Moore building in the Miami Design District, which was built in the 1920s, is officially reopening with a new modern American restaurant, Elastika, a members-only club, a boutique hotel, and more. Helmed by acclaimed Executive Chef Joe Anthony and brought to life by WoodHouse, the modern American restaurant is located on the first floor of the Moore building and…

Privee Capital plans 12-unit waterfront condo in North Beach

Privee Capital plans a 12-unit waterfront condo project in North Beach, marking continued residential development appetite for the neighborhood. The Miami Beach-based development firm will build a five-story building on a 0.8-acre lot at 1940 Bay Drive in Miami Beach, according to Scott Alcus, managing partner at Privee. Designed by Revuelta, the building will include…

Lease roundup: Rosetta Bakery with a speakeasy on tap at Standard-branded condo in Midtown Miami

Rosetta Bakery will open an Italian Bakery Café and cocktail bar at The Standard Residences, Midtown Miami. The restaurant leased 2,500 square feet next to the lobby and 1,200 square feet of outdoor terrace space at the building that’s under construction at 3100 Northeast First Avenue in Miami, according to a news release from the tenant and one of the developers.

Interview: Mandarin Oriental’s Christian Glauser Benz On Expansion Plans And The Rise Of Branded Residences

Christian Glauser Benz has traveled to more than 120 countries in his career managing the strategic growth of some of the best-known luxury hotel brands. He joined Mandarin Oriental Hotel Group in January as the firm’s head of development for the Americas after stints at Hyatt Hotels Corp. and Dream Hotel Group. He saw the pandemic as a transformative moment…

Downtown Miami’s Future Shines Bright with Financing for Parking Garage Redevelopment

Concord Summit Capital LLC recently arranged $20-million in senior financing to refinance the Bayfront Parking Garage, an operating six-story parking garage with 753 spaces located at 255 NE 1st Street, Miami, FL 33131. Concord Summit’s Managing Director Justin Neelis from the firm’s Miami office sourced the loan on behalf of the owners, Artifact Group and Blutrich…

$2.5 Billion Bond Postponed by Mayor Daniella Levine Cava

Alittle more than two months after Miami-Dade County Mayor Daniella Levine Cava floated a $2.5 billion general obligation bond (GOB) referendum during her State of the County address to pay for a series of expansive projects, she’s had a change of heart. The mayor recently announced her decision to postpone those ambitious plans after running into too much opposition…

South Florida industrial vacancies rise in the first quarter

South Florida industrial landlords may see a slowdown on the horizon, as vacancies crept up across the tri-county region in the first quarter, according to a CBRE report. Demand in Miami-Dade County is growing at a slower pace, dropping to 2.1 million square feet in the last 12 months, well below a five-year average annual absorption rate of 4.5 million square feet…

This Week’s South Florida Deal Sheet: Amazon Warehouse Sells For $106M

A 1M SF Amazon fulfillment center near Jupiter was acquired for $106.5M by the investment firm founded by Ross Perot, the late billionaire who ran for president in 1992. Dallas-based Hillwood, the commercial real estate arm of Perot Co., acquired the property through a subsidiary from an entity controlled by Truist Securities, property records from the data intelligence…

Starwood sells four office buildings in Miramar at a loss for $45M

Starwood Capital Group sold an office portfolio in Miramar for $45 million, marking a 45 percent discount off its purchase price nine years ago. YMP Real Estate Management bought the pair of Miramar Centre I and III buildings at 3401 and 3601 Southwest 160th Avenue, as well as the pair of Huntington Centre I and II buildings at 2901 and 2801 Southwest 149th Avenue…

Starwood Sells Miramar Office Buildings At 45% Discount

Starwood Capital Group sold a four-building portfolio of offices outside Fort Lauderdale for $45M, just more than half of what it paid to acquire the buildings nearly a decade ago. Starwood sold two buildings in Miramar Centre, including 3601 SW 160th Ave., and two in another office park. A joint venture between YMP Real Estate Management and three entities tied to Nathan…

Estate wins approval to build 353 apartments in Davie, including affordable housing

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Developer proposes 978-unit apartment complex on Fort Lauderdale mobile home park

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Acclaimed Architect Renzo Piano Unveils First Concept Design for The Center for Arts & Innovation In Boca Raton

The Center for Arts & Innovation has unveiled its initial vision for a forthcoming, globally revolutionary creativity and innovation hub in Boca Raton designed by the widely acclaimed Renzo Piano Building Workshop. Renzo Piano, a Pritzker Architecture Prize-winning Laureate, selectively undertakes two to three new commissions worldwide each year, emphasizing the…

Venture One pays $36M for three Boynton Beach warehouses

Venture One Real Estate paid $36.2 million for a trio of Boynton Beach warehouses. Through an acquisition fund, an affiliate of Rosemont, Illinois-based Venture One purchased Boynton Logistics Center, an industrial complex at 1200, 1210 and 1220 Southwest 35th Avenue, records and real estate database Vizzda show. The buyer obtained a $50 million mortgage from…

Related Companies Breaks Ground on South Flagler House At 1355 South Flagler Drive in West Palm Beach

Related Companies held a groundbreaking ceremony on April 17 for South Flagler House, an unparalleled luxury residential development in the Palm Beaches. The development features exquisite design by the renowned Robert A.M. Stern Architects (RAMSA), interiors by the acclaimed firm Pembrooke & Ives, and spectacular waterfront views. Located along the Gold Coast…

Morgans Restaurant Relocates to Allapattah After 14 Years in Wynwood

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Steve Ross’ Related wins bid to build $300M West Palm convention center hotel

Billionaire Steve Ross’ Related Companies won the bid to build West Palm Beach’s next convention center hotel. New York-based Related will build a $300 million 20-story, 404-key Hilton Signia on the site at 900 South Rosemary Avenue, the Palm Beach Post reported. Related estimated the hotel could be completed in three years, according to the publication. The hotel will add…

The Breakers wins approval for courtyard renovation

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Questions & Answers About Distressed Commercial Properties

Distressed commercial properties are under-performing assets that pose significant challenges to owners from a physical and financial point of view. Whether they’re run down, obsolete properties or they’re simply producing a negative cashflow every month, distressed properties can be great investment opportunities. Having said that, investing in distressed properties…

Video: Foodservice Results CEO Darren Tristano Discusses Restaurants and Real Estate 2024

The Conversation: Navigating the Current Landscape of the Restaurant Industry In a recent episode of *America’s Commercial Real Estate Show*, show host Michael delved into the current state of the restaurant industry with CEO Darren Tristano of Foodservice Results. Their insightful conversation provided valuable perspectives on the trends, challenges, and…

Video: Blackstone Sends ‘Takeoff’ Signal With Big Commercial Property Deal

Blackstone’s $10 Billion Real Estate Deal: A Shift in Market Dynamics In a move signaling confidence in the property market, Blackstone recently closed a significant deal worth approximately $10 billion for another apartment landlord with its purchase of Apartment Income REIT.  This transaction underscores the real estate giant’s strategic decision to deploy capital amid changing…

U.S. Industrial Leasing Plunges Nationally In Q1 As ‘Recalibration’ Continues

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With $191B To Spend, Blackstone Thinks Real Estate Has Hit Bottom

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Apparel Retailer Express Inc. To Close 100 Stores In Bankruptcy

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Blackstone Flags Retail Property Investment Opportunity As Big Brands Put Focus Back On Stores

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Optimizing your multifamily portfolio with agency lending

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How low? LNR buys San Francisco office building for 11% of 2018 price

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April 24, 2024

Video: Foodservice Results CEO Darren Tristano Discusses Restaurants and Real Estate 2024

The Conversation: Navigating the Current Landscape of the Restaurant Industry

In a recent episode of *America’s Commercial Real Estate Show*, show host Michael delved into the current state of the restaurant industry with CEO Darren Tristano of Foodservice Results. Their insightful conversation provided valuable perspectives on the trends, challenges, and opportunities facing both restaurant operators and landlords in today’s market. Discussions include trends for food service labor, rent-to-revenue ratios, areas for growth in the industry, performance trends, expanding brands, concepts to be cautious of, and tips for both landlords and restaurant operators. This discussion is national in scope, providing insights into the commercial real estate sector nationwide, specifically retail restaurant properties. Given the non-local scope, observations may be less relevant or entirely irrelevant to restaurant properties in Miami or South Florida at large.

Resilience Amidst Economic Shifts

Darren Tristano began by highlighting the resilience of the restaurant industry, noting its ability to weather economic downturns and continue growing. Despite challenges such as inflation and high gas prices affecting disposable income, consumer interest in dining out remains strong. Tristano pointed out that while traffic to restaurants has remained relatively flat, it hasn’t declined significantly, indicating stable demand for dining experiences away from home.

Restaurant Rental Revenue Ratios and Market Trends

Michael and Tristano discussed rental revenue ratios, with Tristano suggesting a likely downward trend due to increased pricing at restaurants. Although nominal sales may rise, real growth remains minimal, making it challenging for landlords to raise rents significantly. Tristano emphasized the importance of understanding market trends and consumer preferences, particularly the growing demand for off-premise dining options such as delivery and drive-through services.

Thriving and Struggling Restaurant Segments

Tristano identified the segments of the restaurant industry that are faring well and those facing challenges. Limited-service restaurants with drive-throughs and efficient delivery options are experiencing growth, while full-service establishments are working hard to adapt and recover. Brands offering value-oriented menus, such as Taco Bell and Dunkin’, are expanding, while mainstream casual dining chains like Red Lobster and Applebee’s are facing closures due to oversaturation and changing consumer preferences.

Opportunities for Landlords and Developers

From a landlord’s perspective, Tristano stressed the importance of understanding the restaurant landscape and partnering with operators for long-term success. He advised landlords to assess the fit of potential tenants with the surrounding market and to consider factors such as traffic patterns and demographics. Building strong relationships with restaurant operators and offering flexible leasing options can lead to mutually beneficial outcomes.

Future Growth and Stability

Looking ahead, Tristano expressed optimism about the industry’s stability, citing a potential easing of inflation and lower gas prices that could boost consumer spending. He highlighted the success of chicken-focused brands like Chick-fil-A and Raising Cane’s, as well as the potential for innovative concepts to thrive in diverse settings such as cruise lines and schools.

Conclusion

As the restaurant industry continues to evolve, collaboration between operators and landlords will be essential for navigating challenges and seizing opportunities. By understanding market dynamics, adapting to changing consumer preferences, and fostering strong partnerships, both parties can thrive in today’s competitive landscape.

The insightful conversation between the show host and Foodservice Results’ CEO provided valuable insights into the nuances of the restaurant industry, offering practical advice for stakeholders looking to succeed in this dynamic market.

About Foodservice Results

Foodservice Results, headquartered in the Chicago market, is a prominent market research and consultancy firm spearheaded by Darren Tristano, former President of Technomic. Leveraging extensive expertise in the foodservice industry, the company specializes in delivering tailored solutions for restaurant operators, foodservice suppliers, distributors, and related organizations.

Utilizing a blend of consumer and market research, Foodservice Results offers clients a data-driven approach to comprehensively grasp industry dynamics and identify growth prospects. With a network of industry professionals spanning various domains, the firm provides unparalleled insights from seasoned experts, ensuring clients benefit from a wealth of knowledge and experience.

Exclusive studies conducted by Foodservice Results include:

1. 2020 Future of Fast Casual: This study offers a five-year forecast for sales and unit growth in the fast-casual segment, furnishing actionable insights crucial for strategic planning and competitive analysis.

2. 2020 Leading Restaurant Chain Industry Report: Providing an in-depth analysis of the top 1,000 chain restaurants in the United States, this report offers invaluable insights into industry trends and performance metrics.

3. 2019 Off-Premise 5-Year Study: Focused on understanding consumer attitudes towards takeout, delivery, and catering, this study provides essential insights into evolving consumer preferences and behaviors in the off-premise dining space.

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April 22, 2024

Video: Blackstone Sends ‘Takeoff’ Signal With Big Commercial Property Deal

Blackstone’s $10 Billion Real Estate Deal: A Shift in Market Dynamics

In a move signaling confidence in the property market, Blackstone recently closed a significant deal worth approximately $10 billion for another apartment landlord with its purchase of Apartment Income REIT.  This transaction underscores the real estate giant’s strategic decision to deploy capital amid changing market conditions and adds to growing investor sentiment that it’s now a good time to jump into the battered US property market. The conversation between Bloomberg’s Patrick Clark, Abigail Doolittle, and Sonali Basak sheds light on Blackstone’s shifting behavior and its broader implications for the real estate sector. Since this conversation is about a national transaction it should be noted that general commercial real estate insights may carry less significance or be inconsequential when it comes to commercial properties in Miami.

Over the past year, Blackstone has demonstrated a willingness to invest actively, aligning its strategy with evolving market dynamics. Patrick Clark highlights Blackstone’s proactive approach, emphasizing the company’s ability to influence the broader real estate market. As interest rates trend downward, there’s a growing anticipation of a surge in capital deployment, potentially driving property prices higher. Blackstone’s early involvement positions it to capitalize on these anticipated market movements.

Abigail Doolittle expands on the ripple effects of Blackstone’s actions, noting the positive impact on various segments beyond multifamily rates. She underscores the broader trend of major players, including KKR and Hines, expressing similar intentions to raise funds for real estate opportunities. This collective movement suggests a significant shift in the industry landscape, prompting discussions about whether this deal could mark a turning point for the market.

The focus on high-end rental markets, as exemplified by the targeted locations of the acquired properties, offers insights into Blackstone’s strategic positioning. Despite challenges in certain markets characterized by oversupply and softer rents, Blackstone remains actively engaged, demonstrating confidence in the long-term viability of these investments.

The conversation also touches upon the implications for publicly traded real estate investment trusts (REITs), such as the acquired REIT, a spin-out from Aimco which went public in December 2020. Blackstone’s involvement may signal renewed investor interest in REITs, potentially stabilizing or boosting their performance in the market.

Moreover, the dialogue underscores Blackstone’s role as a market leader and its significance in setting benchmarks for industry behavior. As the “take out” for many players in the market, Blackstone’s activities often influence investor sentiment and market sentiment overall.

The discussion concludes with reflections on the broader landscape of real estate investment, with mentions of other companies raising funds and launching new investment vehicles. Despite expectations of a market downturn, the influx of capital from various sources acts as a stabilizing force, mitigating the extent of potential declines and creating a floor for asset valuations.

In summary, Blackstone’s $10 billion real estate deal represents more than just a significant transaction; it signifies a strategic shift in market dynamics. As Blackstone and other major players continue to assert their influence, the real estate sector undergoes a period of transformation, characterized by increased activity, strategic positioning, and renewed investor confidence.

April 18, 2024