Miami Commercial Real Estate News April 14, 2021: Miami-Beach 7-Eleven Sells for $11 Million; Dezer Partnering with Bentley for Sunny Isles Development; More…

Capital Realty affiliate sells South Miami office and retail building for $5M

An affiliate of Capital Realty Services sold a mixed-use office and retail building along South Miami’s Sunset Drive for $5 million. Sunset One Properties sold the property at 5875-5887 Sunset Drive to 5875 Sunset Group, a Hollywood-based investment group led by Stanley and Michael Cohen, according to a deed. The two-story building totals 10,463 square…

Fill ‘er up: Power Petroleum buys Miami Beach 7-Eleven with gas station for $11M

Power Petroleum bought a Miami Beach 7-Eleven with a gas station for $11.25 million, the same amount as the listing price, the brokers said. The Pompano Beach-based, family owned petroleum supplier bought the property at 6348 Collins Avenue from Ivelise Daily, as trustee of the Sarah D. Brito Revocable Living Trust. Alejandro D’Alba and Scott Sandelin…

Gil Dezer partners with Bentley for luxury condo tower in Sunny Isles Beach

Developer Gil Dezer, known for his luxury condo towers and exotic car collection, is partnering with Bentley for his next project. Dezer Development will build a Bentley Motors-branded skyscraper on an oceanfront site in Sunny Isles Beach. Sales are expected to launch later this year, as early as October, Dezer told The Real Deal. It will mark the first…

Echoing Pre-COVID Times, Fed’s Beige Book Returns to Describing Modest Growth

The Beige Book has begun to sound rather ordinary again. After a year of pandemic-induced economic turmoil, that is welcome news indeed. The Atlanta Fed’s portion of the report summarizes southeastern economic conditions in the six weeks preceding each meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee. For years, Beige Book descriptions of “modestly…”

Miami’s Brickell Area Makes List of 50 Priciest Submarkets for Office Space in Q4 2020

As the effects of the pandemic continue to be felt in the commercial real estate (CRE) world, some companies are switching up their future policies regarding work from home and reevaluating their office footprint. So, CommercialSearch conducted a study to find which were the 50 most expensive office space submarkets in Q4 2020. Overall, 42 of the 50…

Medical offices are just what the doctor ordered for landlords

Medical offices have been a bright spot for real estate investors during the pandemic, despite the fact that telehealth saw a boom during the pandemic. Doctors and medical professionals have remained on time with their rent payments in the past year, unlike other office tenants, the Wall Street Journal reported. While some tenants have paid less than 85 percent…

Pharrell’s Goodtime Hotel opens in Miami Beach

After roughly five years and $200 million, the Goodtime Hotel is almost open. The Washington Avenue hotel, developed by Imperial Companies’ Michael D. Fascitelli and Eric Birnbaum, opens Thursday. The developers brought on star talent… Pharrell Williams, hospitality mogul David Grutman and designer Ken Fulk… at 601 Washington Avenue

$11.3M Sale Arranged of Miami Beach Property Leased to 7-Eleven

Marcus & Millichap has arranged the $11.3 million sale of a 4,370-square-foot retail property leased to 7-Eleven in Miami Beach. Alejandro D’Alba and Scott Sandelin of Marcus & Millichap marketed the property on behalf of the seller, an individual/personal trust known as Armando’s Service Station, Inc. (dba 7/11 Store). The buyer was Power Petroleum Inc…

Top-5 Miami Shopping Centers: Retail Market Trends & Analysis 2021

Miami’s incredible, sunny climate and outdoor, social lifestyle create a foundation for the fundamental presence of retail shopping centers and malls in the region. In fact, it’s a Top-10 Shopping Destination in the USA on a variety of lists, including Travel & Leisure’s latest list. This is just one of the many factors that makes…

Estate Companies scores $30M construction loan to turn Hialeah Ramada into multifamily

A plan to convert a long-closed Hialeah hotel into multifamily is moving forward, as the developer scored $29.5 million in construction financing. The Estate Companies has started construction to turn the Ramada Inn at 1950 West 49 Street into Alture Westland, according to a press release. The project is expected to be finished in the fourth quarter.

Accor to Run Miami Worldcenter Tower Under Morgans Originals Brand

Miami-based real estate developer Royal Palm Companies (RPC) and French hospitality behemoth Accor will team up to operate the luxury skyscraper, Legacy Hotel & Residences at Miami Worldcenter, a 27-acre, mega-development project situated in the city’s downtown, Commercial Observer has learned. Accor will manage and operate the building under the…

Commercial Property Sales Close in Coral Gables Central Business District as City Continues to Evolve

The Coral Gables central business district is quickly taking on a new form. The Plaza, to the east of the Ponce Circle, is coming online, with one office tower recently completed and another expected to be toward the end of 2021. Together, these towers will add nearly half a million square feet of office space to the area. Big tenants have reportedly already signed up…

Public-private deal’s apartments downtown set to take tenants

Grand Station Apartments, the product of a public-private partnership with the Miami Parking Authority (MPA), is ready to begin lining up tenants that will fill its 300 units. ROVR Development has announced it has begun pre-leasing for Grand Station Apartments, a 30-story apartment tower in the heart of Downtown Miami. Expected move-in will take place over the…

Miami-Dade housing rents dip a hair

As the vaccine rollout allows the economy to slowly reopen and replenish jobs, the need for multifamily rental spaces has increased throughout Miami-Dade County. So far in 2021, the average effective rent year-over-year is down 0.2 % in Miami-Dade Metro Area, compared to a 2.7% decrease in 2020, according to Marcus Millichap’s 2021 first-quarter multifamily…

East-West transit corridor might have lost a major funder

With the future of the Miami-Dade Expressway Authority (MDX) in legal limbo, the county is developing alternative plans for building and operating a rapid bus service known as the East-West Corridor. The plan now for the route linking West Miami-Dade to Miami International Airport and downtown Miami along the 836 (one of five toll roads MDX oversaw)…

Ronny Finvarb plans boutique hotel on Alton Road site in Miami Beach

Miami Beach hotelier Ronny Finvarb closed on the site of a planned boutique hotel on Alton Road. Finvarb’s Sobe 18 LLC paid $4 million for the 10,200-square-foot property at 1790 Alton Road in Miami Beach, he said. There, he plans to build a 36-key hotel with a restaurant on the ground floor. Property records show 1790 Alton Holdings LLC sold the lot.

Lease roundup: Iberia Foods takes 78K sf space in Hialeah; more

Centergate at Gratigny Iberia Foods inked a nearly 78,000-square-foot lease at Centergate at Gratigny in Hialeah. The three-building Class A industrial property at 5801 and 6301 East 10th Avenue totals 1.6 million square feet. Easton & Associates’ Michael Waite represented Iberia. Transwestern Real Estate Services’ Thomas Kresse, Walter Byrd, Ben Eisenberg and…

Terreno Realty Buys Miami-Dade Property, Plans Warehouse Development

Terreno Realty Corp. said it plans to build a pair of warehouses in Miami-Dade County after buying a vacant site in the Gladeview area. VF 73rd Street LLC, managed by Rene Vivo Jr. and Augusto J. Fonte in Hialeah, sold the 5.8-acre site at 3000 NW 73rd Street to Bellevue, Washington-based Terreno Realty Corp. for $5.8 million. The property…

Over 340M sf of industrial space set for delivery in 2021

Tesla’s Gigafactory (Tesla) Everything is bigger in Texas so it’s no surprise the Dallas area is leading the way in industrial construction. About 28 million square feet of warehouses and distribution centers across 81 projects in Dallas-Fort Worth are scheduled to be completed by year-end, according to a report from CommercialSearch, a CRE listings company.

Dollar General thrives amid retail apocalypse

Don’t tell Dollar General that brick-and-mortar retail is dead. The retailer plans to open 1,050 new stores this year, Business Insider reported, part of an aggressive expansion plan that goes against the push many retailers have made to increase their online operations. That follows a similar pace of expansion in 2020, when 1,000 new stores opened and 1,670…

Michael Stern’s tower site deemed brownfield, paving way for tax breaks

The site of Michael Stern’s planned 62-story One Southside project in Brickell is officially a brownfield… The designation will allow Stern, founder of New York-based JDS Development, to pursue state tax credits as well as grants from the federal EPA to remove any contamination found on 32,250-square feet at Southwest Second Avenue and 12th Street owned…

McDonald’s to shutter hundreds of Walmart outposts

As fast-food restaurants with drive-throughs have gained popularity, those without have waned. Now, McDonald’s is planning to close hundreds of its eateries in Walmart stores by the end of the summer, the Wall Street Journal reports. That will leave just 150 of the Golden Arches’ Walmart locations across the country — down from 500 at the start of 2020…

Owners of historic Shelborne hotel in South Beach seek approval for renovation

The owners of the historic Shelborne Hotel at 1801 Collins Avenue are planning a renovation of the oceanfront South Beach property. Shelborne Hotel Partners WC LP submitted a proposal to the Miami Beach Historic Preservation Board for the partial demolition, renovation and restoration of portions of the hotel. The ownership group also wants to add a…

Mall vacancy rate hits all-time high

It’s not just office and residential landlords who need to worry about soaring vacancy rates. The vacancy rate for regional and superregional malls hit 11.4 percent in the first quarter of 2021, the highest it’s ever been. That’s up from 10.5 percent in the fourth quarter of 2020 — an increase of 90 basis points in a single quarter, according to a report by Moody’s…

Remote Work Expected to Decrease Office Density and Demand

The era of tightly packed offices could be gone as office spaces are expected to be less dense in the coming years as remote work seems here to stay, CoStar Group predicted. CoStar suspects that a hybrid, part-home, part-office work model might prove the most efficient and productive for employees. Plus, both workers and employers prefer the flexibility.

Astor Companies scores $32M construction loan for Miami apartments

The Astor Companies scored a $32.4 million construction loan for its planned mixed-income, multifamily project near Miami’s Flagler Street. Coral Gables-based Astor, led by founder Henry Torres, is developing the 10-story, 199-unit Douglas Enclave at 61 Northwest 37th Avenue. Ocean Bank issued the loan, according to records. Astor plans to start…

Brickell dev site hits market, broker expects it to fetch more than $25M

A developable assemblage in Miami’s Brickell neighborhood hit the market, with zoning that allows for two 48-story towers. The listing broker said he expects it to sell for more than $25 million. Owner Progesti Corp. listed the 1.3 acres at 180 Southwest Ninth Street, 244 Southwest Ninth Street, and 901 Southwest Third Avenue. Progesti, whose president is Jose Nunez…

Planet Cellular Purchases Doral Office/Warehouse Facility

Planet Cellular paid $4,400,000 for a ±30,000-square-foot office/warehouse facility located at 8788 NW 15 Street in Doral. Based in Los Angeles, California, Planet Cellular Inc. (PCI) is a specialized re-seller of IT and telecommunication hardware equipment and software services, cellphones, peripheral devices, and streaming devices. Daniel P. Cook, Owner…

Landmark Cos. buys Coral Springs apartments for $40M

Landmark Cos. paid $40.2 million for Coral Falls Apartment Homes in Coral Springs, marking the investor’s second multifamily community in Broward County. Keasbey, New Jersey-based Landmark, through an affiliate, bought the 190-unit complex at 2801 Northwest 91 Avenue. The seller is CF Partners Limited, an affiliate of Iron River Management, according to…

Continental Realty buys LA Fitness-anchored shopping center near Wellington

LA Fitness Continental Realty Corp. bought the LA Fitness-anchored Shoppes at Sherbrooke retail center near Wellington for $11.3 million. Baltimore, Maryland-based Continental Realty bought the plaza at 8888-8954 Lantana Road on behalf of its Continental Realty Fund V, according to a press release. The seller is G&I VIII Sherbrooke, an affiliate of New…

Koda Interstate buys Riviera Beach industrial park for $13M

An industrial park in an Opportunity Zone in Riviera Beach sold for $12.8 million, another sign of strength in the market sector. Koda Interstate bought the complex at 6555 and 6557 Garden Road and at 3541 Dr. Martin Luther King. Jr. Boulevard from Interstate Industrial Park Holdings, according to a press release. Hollywood-based Koda is led by Brandon…

Pair Of 300-Foot Towers Will Be Tallest On Fort Lauderdale Beach

Kolter Urban, a developer based in Delray Beach, Florida, announced today that it is launching sales for two tall, slender towers that will rise 300 feet above sea level on Fort Lauderdale Beach. They are slated to be the beach’s tallest structures. Located at 3000 Alhambra St., the beachfront project will be called Selene Oceanfront Residences. Its towers are designed to be…

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April 14, 2021

Chart: Miami Commercial Real Estate Sales to List Price Ratio March 2021

January 2011 to March 2021 Sales to List Price Ratio for Commercial/Industrial Property within Miami-Dade County, Florida and Priced from $1 Million to $10 Million as Recorded in Miami MLS

The sales to list price ratio as reported by the Miami MLS for improved commercial real estate (MLS classification: commercial/industrial) within Miami-Dade county in Florida priced from $1 million to $10 million in March came up a bit to 93% from 89.5% the month prior. Though off of highs in the past 10 years, this percentage is nonetheless in the upper half of where it has been over the past ten years, as is evident in this chart.

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April 14, 2021

Miami Commercial Real Estate News April 7, 2021: Hialeah Industrial Properties Sell for $50 Mil, Acre at Worldcenter for $20 Million; Inflation Expectations Rising; More…

Codina Partners’ plan for Coral Gables rental tower advances with three-way property swap

Codina Partners’ plan for a high-end rental tower in Coral Gables is a step closer… As part of the three-way trade, Codina Partners bought a 1.3-acre development site… bought Coral Gables’ former police building at 2801 Salzedo Street from the city for $16.7 million… had given the city land for its new police department headquarters at 2151 Salzedo Street.

Terreno Realty pays $50 million for two buildings at FECI’s Hialeah industrial complex

Terreno Realty Corp. paid $50 million for two recently completed industrial buildings at Countyline Corporate Park in Hialeah. San Francisco-based Terreno Realty, a publicly traded industrial real estate investor, bought the properties at 4021 and 4071 West 108 Street from affiliates of Florida East Coast Industries, records show. The buildings total 274,000 square feet…

Miami Worldcenter developer sells 1-acre lot to Abbhi Capital, doubling its site

Miami Worldcenter Associates sold another piece of the mega-project to Coral Gables investment firm Abbhi Capital. Abbhi paid $20 million for the 1-acre development site between Northeast 10th and 11th streets along Northeast First Avenue, according to a press release. It’s zoned for nearly 850 residential units and 1.2 million square feet…

Chart: TIPS Spread Indicating Highest Inflation Expectations in 13 Years

The TIPS spread, United States Treasury bond yields less Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) yields, for the 5 years ending April 2, 2021. The TIPS spread is the difference in the yields between United States Treasury bonds and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). It is a useful and oft-quoted measure of expectations for (CPI) inflation in the financial…

The Fed: Is Inflation Making a Comeback?

The average price level dropped sharply during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic and has gradually recovered since then. As a result, annual inflation has remained low: The 12-month change in the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index reached 0.5% in April 2020, its smallest increase that year. Core PCE inflation (which excludes food…

Florida lawmakers look to restrict impact fees

Amid a booming real-estate market in many areas, state lawmakers are moving forward with proposals that would place additional restrictions on impact fees that cities, counties and school boards say are needed to help keep up with growth. House and Senate committees Wednesday approved bills that include putting limits on impact-fee increases and defining…

Bank OZK Provides $64.8 Million Construction Loan for Natura Gardens Apartments in Miami

Bank OZK has provided $64.8 million in construction financing to Terra and New Valley, the development partners of Natura Gardens, a multifamily community in Miami. The loan will fund the ongoing construction of the 23-acre community, which will encompass 460 garden-style apartments across 12 three-story residential buildings. The development broke ground…

TM Real Estate sells Miami Gardens office park for $15 million

TM Real Estate Group sold the Lincoln Square office complex in Miami Gardens for $15.35 million. Coconut Grove-based TM Real Estate sold the office park at 18405 Northwest Second Avenue to Preminger Investments, according to a news release. The buyer assumed an $11.5 million CMBS loan on the property with a fixed interest rate of 4.9 percent and about…

$15.4 Million Sale of Lincoln Square Office Complex in Metro Miami Arranged

Aztec Group Inc., a real estate investment and merchant banking firm, has arranged the $15.4 million sale of Lincoln Square, a 116,560-square-foot suburban office complex located at 18405 NW 2nd Avenue in Miami Gardens. Peter Mekras and Brell Tarich of Aztec Group led the transaction. Miami-based TM Real Estate Group ran a marketing process to sell the…

Opportunity Zone investors pour in ahead of key deadlines

This is a critical year for Opportunity Zone investors. Real estate developers, property owners and funds have until the end of December to take full advantage of the federal tax-break program, but have also benefited from a Covid-related deadline extension. Though the coronavirus briefly paused Opportunity Zone investment nationwide, backers…

These US real estate titans made Forbes’ 2021 billionaires list

The world minted new billionaires at a rate of one every 17 hours in 2020 — and some of those came from the real estate industry. Zillow co-founders Rich Barton and Lloyd Frink, eXp World Holdings founder Glenn Sanford and his wife Penny, and Florida home-builder Patrick Zalupski were among the real estate industry’s newest entrants into the ranks of the uber…

Foreclosures and evictions could be halted for rest of 2021

An onslaught of home foreclosures and evictions could be forestalled for another year. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau is looking at restrictions on mortgage servicers that would prevent struggling homeowners from going straight into foreclosure. The agency has proposed a measure to stop mortgage servicers from proceeding with…

Office landlords offer discounts to lock in leases

Office landlords in New York, Chicago and San Francisco could be taking a hit in the next few years even if some companies lock in long-term leases. More companies are keeping their offices, but are downsizing those spaces to allow employees to work remotely part-time, according to data from VTS, first reported by the Wall Street Journal. The analysis shows that…

Miami-Dade seeks federal funding for Northeast commuter rail line

Background work for a planned commuter rail linking Miami to Aventura is underway, as Miami-Dade applied last month for federal funding for the project and is in talks with operator Brightline to run the route. If all goes according to schedule, construction of what is known as the Northeast Corridor will be done in 2024, according to Luis Espinoza, spokesman…

State finishes six-year, $260 million Krome Avenue upgrade

After more than six years of non-stop construction to enhance Miami-Dade’s westernmost thoroughfare, the Florida Department of Transportation’s (FDOT) $260 million Krome Avenue improvement program is finished. FDOT on Friday announced completion of the 11th and final project in the program, which began in February 2015. The projects…

David Martin: Leads Terra to develop projects based on community needs

David Martin wants to build better neighborhoods. His firm, Terra, has developed more than 5 million square feet of residential, commercial and mixed-use projects. Another 3 million or so square feet are on the way, adding up to more than $8 billion portfolio of assets. In the 20 years since he co-founded Terra with his father, Pedro Martin, the company’s aim…

Miami Industrial Real Estate Quarterly Market Report Released: 1st Quarter 2021

The Miami industrial market’s Q1 vacancy rate was 4.6% at the close of the quarter with a $13.16 per sq. ft. average (gross) lease rate. Industrial vacancies are for Miami warehouses are back below the National Index rate after climbing higher in 2020 for the first time in 20 years. Deliveries have totaled 4.7 million sq. ft. over the past 12 months. After trending…

Terra scores $65 million loan for Northwest Miami-Dade project

Terra is moving forward with its multifamily project in northwest Miami-Dade County, near the planned American Dream Miami mega-mall. Terra and New Valley secured a $64.8 million construction loan from Little Rock, Arkansas-based Bank OZK for Natura Gardens, a 460-unit development planned for a 23-acre site along Northwest 170 Street between…

Miami’s Real Estate Boom: Too Good To Be True?

Every Monday, Mirielle Enlow, executive vice president of operations for Keller Williams in Miami Beach, gathers her top real estate agents for a meeting that she calls the Millionaire Mega-Agent Mastermind. With South Florida now experiencing a well-publicized real estate boom characterized by top-dollar prices and fierce competition for homes, you might expect…

Amol Sarva trashes Newmark after ouster from Knotel

Knotel co-founder Amol Sarva took some shots at its new owner, Newmark, on his way out the door of the flex office company he ran into the ground. In a blistering email Friday evening, Sarva accused the brokerage of using the bankruptcy process to take over the once high-flying Knotel and damaging the company’s relationships. In months leading up to…

Peebles accuses former associate of “anonymous and malicious” smear campaign

Don Peebles is accusing one of his rivals of running a covert smear campaign against him. The Peebles Corporation head claims that former business associate Daniel Hoeg used untraceable Russian servers to send anonymous, defamatory emails to public officials who were reviewing Peebles’ real estate projects, according to a lawsuit filed Friday in…

Big Tech firms led office leasing in 2020

Big Tech keeps getting bigger, and the office footprint of the companies in the sector is keeping pace. Tech firms leased more office space than any other industry last year, according to CBRE’s latest TechInsights report. In total, the tech sector took about 26 million square feet in 2020, which accounted for 17 percent of total office leases. Tech has dominated…

Construction, leisure & hospitality jobs rebounded in March

The leisure and hospitality industry bounced back in March, adding 280,000 jobs to the economy as hotels, restaurants and bars continued to reopen across the country. Bars and restaurants saw the majority of job gains last month, as 175,000 individuals were brought back to work, according to the latest data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Hotels added…

Visualizing the CRE Market Timer’s Thought Process

These probability distribution charts are the topic of this article. The first is a normal distribution of returns using a combination of a cap rate of 5% and rent growth of 2% (and assuming an unchanged cap rate a year later) further assuming an annualized standard deviation of returns of 6.5%. The second is how some market participants feel this is in reality now…

Openings From Carbone to Moxy Hotel Enliven the Miami Scene

Things were looking grim last year, when Miami’s hospitality industry took an estimated $3.4 billion hit from March to August 2020, according to a recent study. Fast forward to March 2021, when the city’s hotel occupancy rate hit 80.7 percent, according to data from STR, with many Miami Beach hotels reporting sold-out weekends — and Miami was back as one of…

Video: GSU’s Jon Wiley, PhD and Lynn Mckee on Opportunity Zones and the Office Market

Jon Wiley, PhD, Professor at J. Mack Robinson School of Business at Georgia State University, and Lynn Mckee, Lecturing Professor at the J. Mack Robinson School or Business at Georgia State University and Senior Vice President and Commercial Real Estate Banker at SunTrust Bank, appear on America’s Commercial Real Estate Show to discuss opportunity zones…

New York Taqueria Tacombi Comes to Miami

Yet another Big Apple institution is coming to South Florida. Tacombi, the popular New York-based taqueria chain, will open two branches in Miami this year. One location is slated to open in October by Lincoln Road, the popular shopping street in South Beach, according to information from the Lincoln Road Business Improvement District. Tacombi has signed up…

Q&A With Yair Levy, Developer Of Miami’s Time Century Jewelry Center

Yair Levy, founder of Time Century Holdings, is the developer behind the Time Century Jewelry Center, a planned epicenter for Miami’s jewelry and diamond trade that will command an entire square block when it opens in mid-2022. Levy is sinking $50 million into the renovation of a lackluster shopping mall in downtown Miami to create his 225,000-square-foot…

Cold Storage’s Explosive Growth Hasn’t Removed Its Risk

The growth in the cold storage sector of industrial real estate over the past 12 months has been simply staggering. Average rent for U.S. cold storage space increased about 15% from the first quarter through the end of last year, CoStar Group reports. Since 2017, rent in the sector has grown by 29%, easily outpacing the still-impressive 21% growth in industrial…

Construction spending fell slightly in February

Thanks to bad weather and pricier materials, construction spending fell slightly last month — though it’s still higher than it was last year. National construction spending dropped 0.8 percent to a seasonally adjusted estimated rate of $1.516 trillion in February, according to the Census Bureau’s monthly report. In January, spending hit a record rate of…

Wynwood Norte plan aims to spur new affordable housing development

A city of Miami zoning overhaul of a traditionally single-family neighborhood just north of Wynwood is largely aimed at enticing affordable housing development in the area. The Miami City Commission last week unanimously approved the Wynwood Norte Neighborhood Revitalization District, a zoning overlay that proponents claim will…

Canadian investor scoops up Hallandale Beach office building for $17M

A Canadian real estate investor expanding its holdings into South Florida bought a Hallandale Beach office building for $16.5 million. Soliman Corporation, based in Montreal, purchased the 1250 Building from Murray Family Associates, an affiliate of Hallandale Beach-based real estate firm KEI Properties, the buyer said. It’s roughly 80 percent occupied.

CubeSmart buys Weston self-storage for nearly $12M

CubeSmart scooped up a Weston self-storage facility for $11.5 million. The Malvern, Pennsylvania-based company bought the building at 1500 North Park Drive from an affiliate of South Florida real estate investor Leo Ghitis, according to a deed. The 93,182-square-foot storage facility was built in 1991 on 6 acres, property records show. Ghitis, through 1500…

Publix pays $10 million for site of new Fort Lauderdale supermarket

Publix is advancing its plan for a new store in Fort Lauderdale’s Lauderdale Beach neighborhood, buying the development site for $10 million. Deed records show Publix bought 1.4 acres of mostly parking lots and an existing retail building at 2985 North Ocean Boulevard in two separate purchases. In one deal, Publix bought 0.9 acres consisting of two adjacent parking…

Intalex Capital buys Plantation office park for $15M

Intalex Capital bought a Plantation office complex, Executive Court at Jacaranda, for $15 million. Fort Lauderdale-based Intalex Capital, through an affiliate, bought the offices at 7800-8040 Peters Road from Executive Properties, according to a deed. Intalex took out an $11.2 million loan from Pacific National Bank to finance the purchase. Property records show…

Kushner’s Proposed 1M SF Industrial Project in Palm Beach County Could Impact Florida Agricultural Reserve

Palm Beach County, Florida, commissioners in 1980 set aside 21,000 acres in the western part of the county as an agricultural preserve for farmland, wetlands, water resources and open space. Now, New York-based Kushner Cos. intends to build a massive, 1M SF industrial warehouse on 51 acres that had long been the site of a plant nursery. To proceed, Kushner would…

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April 7, 2021

Chart: TIPS Spread Indicating Highest Inflation Expectations in 13 Years

The TIPS spread, United States Treasury bond yields less Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) yields, for the 5 years ending April 2, 2021.

The TIPS spread is the difference in the yields between United States Treasury bonds and Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS). It is a useful and oft-quoted measure of expectations for (CPI) inflation in the financial markets. The spread indicates expected inflation.

Real money is buying these bonds. TIPS pay interest every six months, based on a fixed rate that is calculated by multiplying the adjusted principal by one-half the calculated interest rate (i.e. half a year’s worth of inflation at that rate). Thus, a “bet” that an investor makes in with these bonds has real financial implications.

As one can see in this chart, this spread has been on a somewhat rapid and steep ascent since its pandemic related plummet in early 2020. It has not reached its highest level in the 5 year period on this chart. In fact, if one looks back farther, it is at the highest level it has been since July 2008, nearly 13 years prior. That is a concern, but even more of a concern is whether the end of this ascent might be a ways up from here.

Alert level? Yellow.

Watch this.

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April 6, 2021

Visualizing the CRE Market Timer’s Thought Process

These probability distribution charts are the topic of this article. The first is a normal distribution of returns using a combination of a cap rate of 5% and rent growth of 2% (and assuming an unchanged cap rate a year later) further assuming an annualized standard deviation of returns of 6.5%. The second is how some market participants feel this is in reality now, capped by an environment that doesn’t leave much room for improvement. I’ll return to these further down the post.

First, allow me to do a bit of groundwork.

The returns for commercial real estate are affected by multiple factors. First is the earnings of the property in the form of net operating income (NOI). That is money in the bank (well, assuming rent is paid). Rent growth adds to this in the form on additional money-in-the-bank rental income, but also in terms of increased value. Over time, a property can generally be expected to move in line with its rent growth, plus or minus what follows. If a cap rate is unchanged, value moves up exactly in line with NOI growth.

Changes in vacancy rates, or perhaps more accurately changes in assumed vacancy rates, affect NOI disproportionately as not only is rent lost but expense coverage is also lost. For example, if one assumes a building has expenses equal to 35% of gross potential rent, a 5% increase in assumed vacancy from 3% to 8% will decrease that property’s NOI 1.6X as much as the increase in vacancy, like this:

This tends to come into play for all properties. Even a fully leased building with a long-term tenant or tenants should have a vacancy assumption as tenants eventually leave and (sorry to say it aloud) some tenants fail. What assumption is used is a function of what is going on in the markets, thus higher market vacancies will tend to result in higher assumptions for any property.

Then there is the market capitalization rate, commonly referred to as the cap rate. This is the percentage of return buyers demand from earnings (NOI), i.e. NOI / price. Overall market cap rates are affected by a number of things, but the most notable are interest rates and rent growth.

Interest rates affect cap rates as a competing asset class and also by driving demand for property. Commercial real estate does not have only bond like characteristics, however, thus the cap rate does not move exactly in lockstep with interest rates. Over time, cap rates tend to move in line with real interest rates (interest rate less inflation), as cap rates are essentially the real interest rate plus a spread, that of commercial property to some real rate benchmark, generally that of the 10-year US Treasury. on a 1 to 1 basis. In practical terms, over time, this results in cap rates tracking interest rates by about a third. The cap rate to real rate spread moves up and down, but over time is lost in its general trend of tracking real rates.

Rent growth also affects the market cap rate as the more you expect earnings to grow over time the less you are willing to accept now. Miami has experienced and is commonly expected to continue to experience higher rent growth than many markets, and thus has a lower cap rate (i.e. a higher ratio of price to income) than other markets. This growth rate to cap rate relationship tends to be vaguely generalized, but I’d suggest the ratio is about -50%, that for every 1% increase in rent grwoth assumed the cap rate is roughly 0.5% less. If you want to dig deeper into that, I took some time to back that up with some mathematical rationale in a prior post; Quantifying the Effect of Rent Growth Assumptions on Commercial Real Estate Cap Rates. Be warned, there is an Ambien effect.

All this leads to the Goldilocks scenario some believe commercial real estate is in. In order for returns in excess of NOI and rent growth, there needs to be a decline in interest rates either from a decline in rates, an increase in rent growth assumptions, or a decrease in the spread of cap rates to interest rates, or a decline in vacancy rates. Interest rates seem unlikely to go much lower, rent growth seems unlikely to be even stronger, and buildings can’t be more full than full, thus it seems like the return boost possibilities are fairly well all tapped out. The spread of cap rates to interest rates can move, but it does when it does, and there seems no reason to anticipate a move either way, thus I’ll set that one aside. I would also note that buildings can’t get more full than full, but when they want to, rents go up, thus there may be room for rent growth increases. Regardless, on balance, many suggest that the variables that can really push returns are fairly well tapped out. Given this, there is an exchange of ownership underway from those with an inclination toward market timing to carry traders, investors that buy to capture the spread between NOI and interest rates.

Now, to return to the chart at the top, the probability distribution charts. The top one uses 7%, the sum of an assumed market cap rate of 5% and assumed market rent growth of 2%, as a mean return, then plots a normal distribution of possible annual returns using a standard deviation of 6.5%. That SD is more addressed in a paper by S&P Down Indices and another by a trio of University of North Carolina and Indiana University professors. From these, I settled on 6.5%, but I could have chosen a bit higher or lower.

The second chart is this same distribution with some capping math applied as one exceeds the mean return. This is not to show some set of true probabilities, but to graphically note what some investors perceive as the range of possibilities in the current environment. This is how a trading type commonly views trades, that probabilities can be skewed in certain situations putting the odds of taking some position in the trader’s favor. But for that, traders would not trade. I can tell you from conversations with some commercial real estate buyers that some see the current environment as much more left/negative leaning than this. However, not a small number have been saying this for years, if not decades. It may be that they’re eventually right, but it also might only be that eventually reality steps two sigma in the direction of their prediction.

Back in my Wall Street days, a fellow Financial Advisor in my office once commented how much money he had seen lost by people trying to avoid the next bear market. Somewhat contrary that comment is the reply by Bernard Baruch when asked what was the key to his trading success; “I buy my straw hats in the winter time.” What’s the answer? What will actually happen? To “answer” that, I’ll tap into the superseding wisdom of baseball legend and and everyman philosopher Yogi Berra; “It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future.”

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April 1, 2021

Video: GSU’s Jon Wiley, PhD and Lynn Mckee on Opportunity Zones and the Office Market

The Conversation: Understanding the Current Landscape of Commercial Real Estate & Opportunity Zones; Insights from Experts

In the ever-evolving world of commercial real estate, navigating the complexities of market trends, investment opportunities, and shifting dynamics requires a keen understanding of various factors at play. Recently, on America’s Commercial Real Estate Show, experts Jon Wiley, PhD, Professor at J. Mack Robinson School of Business at Georgia State University, and Lynn Mckee, Lecturing Professor at the J. Mack Robinson School or Business at Georgia State University and Senior Vice President and Commercial Real Estate Banker at SunTrust Bank, provided valuable insights into the current state of commercial real estate and shed light on topics ranging from Opportunity Zones to the future of office space. The discussion is about property throughout the United States, thus some observations may not apply or may apply less to Miami commercial real estate. Investors interested in Miami area Opportunity zones may be interested in our post with an interactive map of Miami-Dade’s 67 Opportunity Zones. Discussed are effects on opportunity zone values; they note buyers seem best served to concentrate on areas that already have an upward trajectory. They also go on to discuss office properties and what the post-COVID future may be for them, declaring their belief that reality will turn out not to be the best case or worst case scenario, but somewhere in between. These are analytic types that are clearly looking for answers in the data but also are trying to get ahead of the data given that the situation is currently so fluid.

Opportunity Zones: Debunking Myths and Unveiling Realities

Jon Wiley, a financial economist, delved into the often-misunderstood realm of Opportunity Zones. Contrary to popular belief, the data suggests a more nuanced picture than a mere influx of capital into designated areas. Through rigorous analysis of industrial property transactions, Wiley uncovered that properties within Opportunity Zones experienced a 25% increase in value compared to non-Opportunity Zone properties. However, this increase is not uniform across all properties. Those with larger land sizes and lower coverage ratios witnessed the most significant premiums. Moreover, the success of Opportunity Zones hinges on underlying market trajectories, with areas experiencing positive employment and population growth reaping the most benefits.

The Office Space Conundrum: Balancing Remote Work with In-Person Collaboration

Transitioning to the topic of office space, Lynn McKee provided insights into the ongoing debate surrounding the future of office demand. As the pandemic reshaped work dynamics, businesses grappled with the optimal balance between remote work and in-person collaboration. McKee highlighted a fundamental shift in office space utilization, where the demand for flexibility and safety emerges as paramount considerations. While remote work offers convenience, it also poses challenges in fostering company culture, collaboration, and onboarding new employees. Additionally, the office space paradigm is evolving, with the emergence of hub-and-spoke models and a greater emphasis on healthy building standards.

Embracing Education and Adaptability in Commercial Real Estate

Both McKee and Wiley underscored the importance of education in navigating the nuances of commercial real estate. They emphasized the need for professionals to continuously enhance their knowledge and adaptability to thrive in an ever-changing landscape. McKee highlighted Georgia State University’s program, which caters to a diverse range of students, including mid-career professionals seeking to deepen their understanding of the industry. Wiley echoed this sentiment, advocating for a more sophisticated approach to real estate investment and management.

Looking Ahead: Navigating Uncertainty with Strategic Insights

As commercial real estate continues to evolve, strategic insights and informed decision-making are essential for investors, developers, and industry professionals alike. The conversation on America’s Commercial Real Estate Show provided a glimpse into the multifaceted nature of the industry, offering valuable perspectives on Opportunity Zones, office space dynamics, and the importance of education. By staying abreast of market trends and embracing adaptability, stakeholders can position themselves for success in an ever-changing landscape.

April 1, 2021

Miami Commercial Real Estate News March 31, 2021: Miami Beach’s Tallest to Break Ground; City Furniture Leases 287k sf Industrial; More…

City Furniture leases Miami Gardens distribution center

City Furniture leased a nearly 287,000-square-foot building at Bridge Point Commerce Center in Miami Gardens, another deal marking the strength of South Florida’s industrial market. The Fort Lauderdale-based furniture retailer led by founder Keith Koenig will open a distribution center at Bridge Development Partners’ under…

Bridge Development Lands New Tenant at Miami Industrial Park

CITY Furniture has committed to a 286,991-square-foot, full-building lease at Bridge Point Commerce Center in Miami Gardens, Fla. The agreement brings Bridge Development Partners’ 1.1 million-square-foot, three-building Phase I to 80 percent occupancy. Delivered in two separate phases, with final completion set for early 2023, Bridge Point Commerce Center…

Two Large-Scale Residential Developments Underway in Metro Miami for Combined $695M

Just outside Miami, two large-scale residential developments are underway totaling $695 million. The projects include the Five Park high-rise in Miami Beach and Plantation Walk in Plantation. Five Park. A joint venture between Terra, GFO Investments and New Valley is preparing to break ground on Five Park, a $345 million residential tower located at 500…

4 Industrial Tenants Ink More Than 293K SF of Deals in Miami-Dade

A quartet of industrial leases totaling 293,278 square feet have been inked in Miami-Dade County, with tenants ranging from Crane Worldwide Logistics to PGT Industries, according to information from Cushman & Wakefield. Crane Worldwide signed a six-year lease for 121,656 square feet at Crossroads West, located at 10901 NW 146th Street along the Florida…

SoLé Mia in North Miami scores $32M multifamily construction loan

The multifamily and retail SoLé Mia project in North Miami has secured a $32 million construction loan for its second rental community. Development duo Turnberry Associates, led by Jackie Soffer, and the LeFrak Organization, led by Richard LeFrak, secured the financing through affiliate SM Parcel A, a mortgage…

SALT shakeup: Democrats pressure Biden to repeal tax cap

As President Joe Biden unveils a multi-trillion-dollar infrastructure proposal this week, House Democrats are calling on him to repeal the Trump-era limit on state and local tax deductions, or SALT. Rep. Tom Suozzi, who represents parts of Queens and Long Island, along with Reps. Mikie Sherrill, Josh Gottheimer and Bill Pascrell of New Jersey, have publicly…

Cofe Properties sells Pinecrest office-retail plaza for $32M

Cofe Properties sold an office-retail plaza in Pinecrest for $32 million, the same price the investment firm paid for the property six years ago. Property records show an affiliate of Miami-based Orion Real Estate Group bought Pinecrest Town Center at 12651 South Dixie Highway from Cofe’s Cofe Town Center. Coral Gables-based Cofe Properties bought Pinecrest…

Watch: Gil Dezer on guerrilla marketing and working with Donald Trump

For this month’s The Closing, The Real Deal sat down with Gil Dezer, the head of Dezer Development and one of the most active real estate players in South Florida. The family-run firm, which was started in 1970 by Dezer’s father, Michael, is behind flashy projects such as the Porsche Design Tower and Residences by Armani/Casa. The elder Dezer influenced his son’s…

What distress? Dry powder piles up with few discounts in sight

After raising billions of dollars to spend on commercial real estate, distress investors are having a difficult time spending it. Despite projections of massive discounts in real estate prices, few have arisen. Banks have yet to write down loans and commercial property owners have had little incentive to sell. These factors, along with generous stimulus packages…

Miami-Dade regains 21,600 jobs in one-month recovery climb

Miami-Dade gained 21,600 workers on payrolls from January to February, unemployment ticked down and every sector but one added jobs as Covid-19 vaccination broadened. Nonetheless, every sector continued to show a decline from February 2020, the last normal month in the state before the pandemic hit in March. Figures from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics…

Work to begin on Miami Beach’s tallest building

Terra, GFO Investments and New Valley plan to break ground this month on Five Park, a 48-story, roughly 280-unit tower at 500 Alton Road that will become the tallest building in Miami Beach at 519 feet upon completion in 2023. Construction will be made possible by the largest residential construction loan in South Florida to be funded since the pandemic struck…

Bidding nears for private developers of taller Government Center

Miami-Dade is seeking one more round of public input before requesting a first round of bids from private builders to redevelop downtown Miami’s Government Center area into a taller, denser and more pedestrian-friendly metropolitan neighborhood. The goal, said Eileen Higgins, the county commissioner leading the effort, is to begin preliminary processes this…

Limited-capacity movie theaters fill, add programming

With social distanced automatic seating and ticketing protocols for each showing, several local theaters are reporting uptake of audiences, filling up showings at limited capacity. Still under strict safety regulations, movie theaters throughout Miami-Dade are seeing an increase of moviegoers, who are feeling safer and more confident as the Covid-19 vaccinations…

What Can We Expect From Retail in 2021?

Retail had a turbulent and uneven ride during the COVID-19 pandemic, but a broad recovery should follow once most Americans receive a vaccination. It goes without saying that 2020 was an incredibly challenging year for many brick-and-mortar retailers as pandemic-related restrictions made turning a profit an uphill battle. Although recovery likely won’t be…

Subleases up 40% across US as companies ditch space

JPMorgan Chase, Salesforce and PricewaterhouseCoopers are among a growing number of firms looking to sublease space as the demand for traditional offices diminishes. About 137 million square feet of office space was up for sublease across the U.S. at the end of last year, according to CBRE Group, the Wall Street Journal reported. That represents a 40 percent…

“There will be blood:” VTS’ Nick Romito on why landlords must embrace data

In this installment of the REInterview, TRD’s Hiten Samtani sat down with founder and CEO of VTS Nick Romito. He noted the office sector’s reputation as a steady, stable, unsexy source of income, and explained how all that could change. VTS began as a video-tour company (literally “View the Space”) and is now a cloud-based leasing and portfolio management…

Founders Fund, Atomic and OpenStore ink long-term leases in Wynwood

Is Big Tech here to stay? Venture capital firms Founders Fund and Atomic and e-commerce company OpenStore signed leases for more than 22,000 square feet in Wynwood, while SoftBank and Microsoft are reportedly looking to expand their presence in Miami. Silicon Valley’s Founders Fund, which took a temporary space in Brickell earlier this year, is leasing…

RedSky, JZ sell Wynwood Block at a loss for $24M

RedSky Capital and JZ Capital Partners sold the Wynwood Block retail building at a loss, as they have been offloading their Miami portfolio in recent months. The joint venture sold the one-story retail building at 2621 Northwest Second Avenue to Wynwood Block Realty, led by Joseph Cohen, for $24.2 million. The buyer took out a $12.2 million mortgage on the…

SoftBank Seeks More Miami Space as City’s Tech Industry Expands

SoftBank Group Corp. is looking for a big block of expansion space in Miami in the latest sign that this city’s tech sector is flexing its muscles. The Tokyo-based company, one of the world’s largest tech investors, is searching for as much as 100,000 square feet of space, according to executives in the real-estate and technology industries. A SoftBank spokeswoman confirmed…

Melo Group Breaks Ground on 57-Story Downtown 1st Apartment Tower in Miami

Melo Group has started construction of Downtown 1st, a transit-oriented multifamily development at 22 SW 1st Street in Miami’s central business district (CBD). The 57-story tower will include 560 market-rate apartments, 10,000 square feet of office space and 3,000 square feet of ground-floor retail space. Completion is slated for 2022. Downtown 1st will include…

Melo Group Breaking Ground On 57-Story Downtown Miami Tower

One of Miami’s busiest developers, Melo Group, has launched construction of Downtown 1st, a transit-oriented development at 22 SW 1st Street in downtown Miami’s central business district. The development comes as Miami’s once-dead downtown is going through a boom. A Brookings report from last year found that Miami’s downtown population decreased…

AquaBlue sells Miami Beach apartment complex for $10M

An apartment complex in Miami Beach sold for $10.4 million, slightly less than its asking price of $13.9 million…. AquaBlue Group, led by Philippe Harari, sold the 30-unit property, called Greenview Courtyard, to an entity led by the Dasilva family. The deal equates to $346,667 a unit. The three buildings span just over a half- acre at 2021, 2025 and 2031 Meridian Ave

Natixis Lends $177M on Blackstone’s MiamiCentral Office Towers Buy

Blackstone Real Estate tapped the commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) market for its recent acquisition of two office towers in Downtown Miami, Commercial Observer has learned. Natixis was the lender in the deal, providing a $177 million loan. Shorenstein Properties sold the two recently built, Class A office buildings, 2 & 3 MiamiCentral, to funds…

Miami Heat’s Arena Will Be Renamed After Cryptocurrency Exchange In $135M Deal

The FTX cryptocurrency exchange intends to buy the naming rights for the NBA’s Miami Heat’s arena for $135M, the Miami Herald reported Friday. The downtown Miami venue is called the American Airlines Arena, often referred to as the Triple A. An agreement with Miami-Dade County would last 19 years. In a complex deal, the county would take in $8.2M…

CDC extends national eviction ban through June

A few days before its expiration, the national eviction ban was extended for another three months. The Center for Disease Control and Prevention announced Monday it will continue the moratorium through June. “Keeping people in their homes and out of crowded or congregate settings — like homeless shelters — by preventing evictions is a key step in helping to…

South Florida by the numbers: Here comes the money

“South Florida by the numbers” is a web feature that catalogs the most notable, quirky and surprising real estate statistics. While Miami continues to reshape itself as the new global hub for technology and finance, it appears the latter industry has taken the lead in terms of decision makers choosing to live here — perhaps for the long term. In the past two…

Q&A With Akerman’s Neisen Kasdin, former Miami Beach Mayor, on Miami’s Rising Star

Scan the Miami skyline and it’s hard not to lay eyes on a development bearing Neisen Kasdin’s imprint. The commercial real estate pro led the South Beach revitalization that began taking shape in the late 1980s, and has also put his unique stamp on everything from urban revitalization to the development of complex, large-scale, multi-use projects and smaller…

Quantifying the Effect of Rent Growth Assumptions on Commercial Real Estate Cap Rates

When considering changes or potential changes in commercial real estate capitalization rates (cap rates), market participants tend to most commonly think of interest rates. However, rent growth assumptions also affect cap rates as the more one expect earnings to grow over time the less return an investor is willing to accept now. This is just like growth stocks in the…

More than 1 in 5 company execs plan to slash office space

Even as Covid vaccinations bring a return-to-office closer to fruition, more companies are expecting to reduce their real estate footprints. A recent survey conducted by the American Institute of CPA found that 21 percent of company executives said they expect to reduce their office space in the next 12 months, Bloomberg News reported. That’s up by 3 percentage points…

Harbor Landings mixed-use multifamily, hotel and retail project near Seminole Hard Rock advances

Developers Eric Metz and Louis Birdman advanced their plan to build Harbor Landings, with apartments, hotel rooms, and retail space on a site that touches both Hollywood and Dania Beach near the Seminole Hard Rock Hotel & Casino. The Dania Beach commission on Tuesday approved the multifamily portion of Harbor Landings. The eight-story, 275-unit…

Miami commission deals Edgewater jai alai site a winning hand

West Flagler Associates scored a four-of-a-kind win when Miami commissioners Joe Carrollo, Alex Diaz de la Portilla, Manolo Reyes and Jeffrey Watson voted to approve a new settlement agreement, allowing the company to develop a jai alai fronton and card room in Miami’s Edgewater neighborhood. The pari-mutuel and casino company also procured…

Royal Senior Care scores $42M construction loan for south Miami-Dade project

A senior living facility in south Miami-Dade County got a big boost, as the developer scored a $41.9 million construction loan. Aventura-based Royal Senior Care, led by CEO Avi Bittan and managing director Sean Kanov, plans a three-building, 200-unit independent living, assisted living and memory care facility near the Jackson South Medical Center. Tel-Aviv-based…

The REInterview: Real estate’s climate reckoning, with Fifth Wall’s Brendan Wallace and Greg Smithies

Real estate is the quiet sinner in the climate crisis. The industry might not be the Disney villain of greenhouse gases, cackling as it wreaks havoc on the world, but some estimates show it accounts for up to 40 percent of global carbon emissions. In major real estate markets such as New York, that number is over 70 percent. Why has the industry been unwilling…

Krispy Kreme sells Miami Gardens store — sans doughnuts — for $9M

Doughnut shop Krispy Kreme sold its store just outside Miami Gardens for $9 million. A deed shows the Winston-Salem, North Carolina-based chain and Florida Family Realty sold the 4,345-square-foot, one-story building at 530 Northeast 167th Street to New York-based Bremen House. The building was constructed in 2019 on 1.8 acres, according to property records.

ROVR Development Begins Pre-Leasing 300-Unit Miami TOD Community

ROVR Development has started pre-leasing its residential project that’s being built atop the Miami Parking Authority’s headquarters and garage. The developer began construction on Grand Station Apartments in August 2019 and is expecting to complete the luxury community and welcome its first residents in the summer. The $70 million project was the result…

WeWork to go public in $9B SPAC deal

If at first you don’t succeed, try, try again: Two years after its failed IPO, WeWork has struck a deal to go public with a special-purpose acquisition company. The merger with BowX Acquisition Corp. would value the embattled flexible-office company at $9 billion including debt — a fraction of its $47 billion valuation in 2019. WeWork will get $1.3 billion in…

‘People believed it’: the rise and fall of WeWork, a $47bn unicorn

It’s almost by requirement that Hulu’s WeWork: Or The Making and Breaking of a $47 Billion Unicorn, a documentary on the spectacular over-inflation of the company that coated shared offices in a soft-lit shell of capitalistic spirituality, starts with Adam Neumann (in business terms, a unicorn is a private company valued at over $1bn). WeWork’s charismatic…

Closed El Portal church to be born again with office and retail

The sight of a boarded up church with fading yellow paint and white columns along Northeast Second Avenue in El Portal has become customary for drivers and joggers. But that won’t be for long. The former Rader Memorial United Methodist church and school at 205 Northeast 87th Street, closed for 10 years, will be born again as an office and retail site with…

Subway inks lease at Miami’s Waterford Business District, plans to bring 100 employees

Subway made good on its announcement earlier this month that it’s moving to Miami, inking a major lease at the Waterford Business District, with plans to bring 100 employees. The fast food giant leased 64,256 square feet at 1000 Waterford in the massive office park across Miami International Airport. The office park is owned by a joint venture of Chicago…

The money’s moving to South Florida. Will the office leases follow?

Law firm Levine Kellogg Lehman Schneider + Grossman, now at downtown Miami’s Citigroup Center, plans to cut its space in half at its future office as many attorneys opt to work from home permanently. Across the street, at Southeast Financial Center, law firm Meland Budwick plans to expand by 18 percent. These contrasting approaches show the dichotomy of the…

Bridge Development scores $78M construction loan for Opa-locka industrial park

A three-building industrial complex west of Miami-Opa Locka Executive Airport is on its way to completion in the third quarter, after scoring a $78.3 million construction loan. The Class A… will total 589,887 square feet. Bridge Point AVE spans 47 acres, as part of the 178-acre master-planned AVE, Aviation and Commerce Centre at 14350 Northwest 56th Court.

Bridge Development Secures $78.2M Construction Financing for Bridge Point AVE Industrial Park in Opa-Locka

Bridge Development Partners has secured $78.2 million in financing to develop Bridge Point AVE at Miami-Opa Locka Executive Airport. The three-building, 589,887-square-foot industrial business park is more than 72 percent preleased and is scheduled to be delivered in the third quarter. Steve Roth of CBRE’s Debt & Structured Finance team arranged the loan…

Post-COVID Miami: The Changing Landscape of Commercial and Residential Development

Earlier this month, Bilzin Sumberg’s South Florida Redevelopment Conference engaged hundreds of real estate developers, government staff and officials, architects, engineers, and construction professionals from 12 different states and three different countries in thoughtful discussions about the current real estate market and the future of land development…

Last piece of the pie: Franco & Vinny’s Pizza Shack owners sell Fort Lauderdale Beach assemblage for $7M

All the pieces of the pie came together for the owners of Franco & Vinny’s Pizza Shack. The pizzeria owners, Vinny and Caterina Esposito, sold their assemblage for $7.2 million and plan to close the Fort Lauderdale Beach restaurant next month. It’s a deal that has been in the works for close to three years, according to the brokers involved. Marcus & Millichap’s…

Stiles sells Sunrise office building to IP Capital for $25M

Investors remain bullish on South Florida’s office market, despite the massive remote work shift, with IP Capital Partners as the latest to join the onslaught of buyers. The Boca Raton-based investment firm bought Sunrise Corporate Plaza from a company tied to Stiles Corp., a deed shows. IP Capital took out a $16.3 million…

Harbor Group International buys Boca Raton apartments for $81M

300 West Palmetto Park Road in Boca Raton with PGIM Real Estate executive Eric Adler, Harbor Group International CEO Jordan Slone and president T. Richard Litton Jr. (Google Maps) PGIM Real Estate sold a 248-unit apartment community in Boca Raton for $81 million. Norfolk, Virginia-based Harbor Group International bought the Heritage complex at 300…

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March 31, 2021

Quantifying the Effect of Rent Growth Assumptions on Commercial Real Estate Cap Rates

When considering changes or potential changes in commercial real estate capitalization rates (cap rates), market participants tend to most commonly think of interest rates. However, rent growth assumptions also affect cap rates as the more one expect earnings to grow over time the less return an investor is willing to accept now. This is just like growth stocks in the financial markets, the higher a growth ratio the higher the PE (and thus the lower the earnings yield, a calculation for companies essentially equivalent to a cap rate). I know this intuitively, and commonly mention it to commercial real estate investors coming from other markets with lower assumed and historical rent growth; “cap rates are lower here as rent growth assumptions are higher.” I find it is generally not discussed – almost never, actually – by most market participants, but one can nonetheless see such effects in pricing. In writing this article I’m taking my first stab at quantifying the math of it. Here goes.

 

In the above I’m attempting to quantify a ratio is between rent growth and cap rates. I’ve done this by calculating how much lower a price would need to be assuming 0% rent growth (scenario C) to have the same IRR as if the rent growth rate was 2% for a purchase made at a 5% cap rate. Then, the implied cap rate for the lowered price (scenario C priced lowered to match IRR of scenario A) at purchase is calculated, then the difference in these two cap rates, then the ratio between the difference in rent growth (2%) and this cap rate differential (1.35%). This arrives at a ratio of -68.51%. In other words, according to this calculation, for every 1% change in rent growth assumption, the cap rate should decrease by .69%.

Let me say this ratio is bogus, then add that it is not. First, I’ve never seen this calculation done in practice, thus it seemingly isn’t actively considered, though the effects surely come into play for more sophisticated buyers doing long-term projections. Second, there are numbers of variables that could affect this. Taxes and their effects on investor decisions are ignored in the above, as are transaction costs. Plus, there is nothing magic about the twenty years I’ve chosen above. Change this to a shorter or longer period and everything moves. Finally, improved real estate over a long period of time tends to depreciate to land value, which is evidenced incrementally as cap rates steadily increase as a property ages (and drops in class). That effect is ignored in this. Thus, this is somewhat bogus. However, it isn’t in that it is a calculated measure of the effect on IRR of rent growth, and the adjustments necessary to make returns in the form of IRR equivalent and the resultant affect on cap rates as a ratio of rent growth. What I want to illustrate is not an exact effect, but that there is an effect and that it is not inconsequential. It is not the exact ratio that is valid, it is the general effect.

In practice, I would mark this ratio down to “something approaching half.” This not only serves to pull away some of the effects on IRR of rent growth that are noted in the prior paragraph, it also matches my personal observations as an active market participant. This exercise has provided me me with one calculated mathematical ratio, using a method, likely not nearly the most elegant, of surely many others. In the past, I’ve generally noted that rent growth rates in Miami tends to be assumed to be higher than many markets, and that drives down our cap rates. That is more than what most of my competitors would say, but still just a general approximation that, not adequately substantiated, likely tends to go ear to ear nonstop and out of a listener’s mind without registering. Now, having gone through this exercise, I’m comfortable tightening this general statement to something like: the longer term IRR calculations indicate that cap rates should drop by about half a point for every percent higher rent growth assumed. Much better. Love it.

Note: Do me a favor and check my math. This spreadsheet was put together quickly, thus there could be a formula error within. This wasn’t super complicated and the result was not out of line with what I would expect, thus I didn’t fine-tooth-comb review it. If you find an error in these calculations or with my logic in general, let me have it.

Any and all facts, statistics, financial information, specifications, and analysis provided are on a best efforts basis only, and should not be relied upon for making real estate or investment related decisions. Nothing in this post should not be relied on for, tax, legal or accounting advice.

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March 25, 2021

Miami Commercial Real Estate News March 24, 2021: Blackstone Snags MiamiCentral Buildings for $230 Million; Galbut’s NMB MXU Project Scores Approval; More…

Blackstone buys MiamiCentral office buildings for $230 million

Blackstone Group paid about $230 million for the office buildings at Brightline’s MiamiCentral station, marking one of the largest investment sales to close in South Florida this year. Funds managed by New York-based Blackstone Real Estate bought 2MiamiCentral and 3MiamiCentral from San Francisco-based Shorenstein Properties, according to a news release….

Shorenstein Properties Sells Miami Office Complex for $230 million

Shorenstein Properties, a privately owned investment firm with offices in New York City and San Francisco, has sold 2 & 3 MiamiCentral, a 320,000-square-foot office complex in the city’s downtown area. A fund backed by Blackstone purchased the property for $230 million. Constructed in 2018, the two-building complex is located within MiamiCentral, a transit…

Blackstone Expands in Miami With $230 million Office Buy

On the heels of Blackstone signing a 41,000-square-foot lease for its tech team at the recently constructed 2 MiamiCentral in Miami, funds managed by Blackstone Real Estate have purchased the entire asset along with the neighboring 3 MiamiCentral. Shorenstein Properties sold the pair of downtown office buildings for $230 million. According to…

Blackstone Drops $230 million On 2 Miami Buildings

San Francisco-based Shorenstein Properties announced Friday that it sold two high-profile Class-AA office buildings in downtown Miami to funds managed by Blackstone Real Estate for $230M. MiamiCentral is a mixed-use, transit-oriented development project that spans six city blocks. The train station was designed to accommodate Brightline private trains and…

Shorenstein Properties Sells 2 & 3 MiamiCentral to Funds Managed by Blackstone Real Estate

Shorenstein Properties, LLC (“Shorenstein”), an owner and operator of high-quality office, residential and mixed-use properties across the U.S., today announced the sale of 2 & 3 MiamiCentral to funds managed by Blackstone Real Estate (“Blackstone”) for approximately $230 million. Located in Downtown Miami, this approximately 330,000 square-foot property…

Related wins approval for another Wynwood mixed-use multifamily project

Nearly 10 months after acquiring a 2.27 acre assemblage in Wynwood’s south end, the Related Group is forging ahead with a new mixed-use project on the site. The Miami Design Review Board on Wednesday approved the developer’s proposal for a pair of 12-story buildings at 2130 North Miami Avenue and 38 Northwest 22nd Street. The project, currently known as…

Galbut development group scores approval for mixed-use North Beach resi project

The developers of one of the first projects planned for the North Beach Town Center district secured approval from the Miami Beach Design Review Board late last week. NoBe Creek LLC, an entity led by Jefferson Brackin, Russell Galbut and his daughter Marisa Galbut, wants to develop a mixed-use multifamily building at 666 71st Street. The board unanimously…

Chetrit scores $15 million for Miami River $1 billion mixed-use project

The Chetrit Group is pushing forward with its long-planned mixed-use Miami River mega-project, as it just scored a $15 million construction loan, bringing its total financing to $70 million. Chetrit Group, through affiliate MC Miami River, secured the loan from MSD PCOF Partners XXXIV, an affiliate of Michael Dell’s MSD Capital private investment firm….

Downtown Miami apartment tower Grand Station — A-Rod an investor — launches leasing

Grand Station Apartments in downtown Miami is launching preleasing of the tower, which counts retired Yankees shortstop Alex Rodriguez as an investor. Rovr Development, led by principals Oscar Rodriguez and Ricardo Vadia, is beginning to lease the 30-story, 300-unit building at 40 Northwest Third Street, near the federal courthouse, according…

Waldorf Astoria Miami, planned as the tallest resi tower south of Manhattan, launches sales

The developers of Waldorf Astoria Residences Miami, planned as the city’s tallest residential tower at 100 stories, are launching sales, The Real Deal has learned. The luxury project, at 300 Biscayne Boulevard, will be the highest skyscraper south of Manhattan at 1,049 feet tall, the developers said. Property Markets Group…

Miami’s upcoming Waldorf Astoria property will soon be the Tallest Residential building south of Manhattan

Step aside, New York; there will soon be a new big building city on the East Coast. Florida isn’t necessarily known for tall, glamorous residential or commercial buildings. As it stands, the tallest building in Florida is the Panorama Tower in the Brickell area of downtown Miami. The 85-story skyscraper is a commercial and residential building that soars 849-feet…

Venezuelan food mogul Mauro Libi nabs Miami warehouse for $8 million

A company tied to Venezuelan Mauro Libi, who owns a food empire, bought a warehouse in Miami International Park for $7.8 million. Records show Eleo Group, managed by Libi, bought a 47,668-square-foot warehouse at 7300 Northwest 35th Terrace from Medley-based window blinds and shades manufacturer Vertilux. Built in 1983, the two-story facility is on 1.8 acres…

Harbor Group International Finances Miami Hotel-to-Multifamily Conversion

Harbor Group International, LLC (“HGI”), a privately-owned international real estate investment and management firm, today announced the $27.5 million financing of a hotel-to-multifamily conversion project in the Coconut Grove neighborhood of Miami. The loan was provided to AB Asset Management (“AB AM”) to acquire and rebrand the property as a Class…

Developers see green in turning golf courses into warehouses

It’s a hole-in-one for warehouse developers. Builders have been turning golf courses into warehouse locations as the industrial space boom continues, according to Bloomberg Businessweek. In May, for example, Onondaga County in New York announced that Amazon would build a $350 million distribution center over 111 acres of land formerly occupied by the…

South Beach Businesses Feel the Pain of Spring Break Chaos and Curfew

Upon entering Miami Beach from the MacArthur Causeway, an electronic sign on Fifth Street warns visitors: “Loud Music Arrestable.” Just a few blocks to the east, vacationers walk along Ocean Drive with stereos and Bluetooth speakers, blaring music and dancing in the street outside the fenced-in dining areas of local bars and restaurants. Miami Beach is…

Spring Break Chaos On Miami Beach: Just A Blip For CRE

After big crowds converged on Miami Beach this weekend, the city imposed an 8 p.m. curfew and shut down bridges connecting the beach and the mainland — giving people just hours’ notice and backing up traffic late into the night. The restrictions are in place Thursdays, Fridays, Saturdays and Sundays through April 11. Officials, residents and business owners have…

Federal bill would give $1.5B to pro-housing localities

To combat the affordable housing crisis, three U.S. senators are set to introduce the Housing Supply and Affordability Act. The bipartisan bill would provide $1.5 billion for federal grants to local governments that commit to increase their supply of local housing, to be distributed over the next five years, according to Bloomberg CityLab. “All Americans deserve…”

Miami Beach developers nab $345M construction loan for 500 Alton

Beach developers Russell Galbut and David Martin scored a $345 construction loan for their planned residential tower at the entrance to South Beach, marking one of the largest loans to close in South Florida during the pandemic, The Real Deal has learned. Galbut’s GFO Investments and Martin’s Terra are partnering on the project at 500 Alton Road

Miami Beach investor Greg Mirmelli to convert former Banana Republic store into mansion hotel

Miami Beach investor Greg Mirmelli bought the former Banana Republic building at 800 Collins Avenue, with plans to convert the property into a mansion hotel, The Real Deal has learned. Mirmelli paid $4.5 million for the 10,026-square-foot building, he said. Property records show the seller is 800 Collins Ave LLC, led by Sam Herzberg. Herzberg’s entity paid $9.7 million…

 $5.4M Sale Arranged for Former Methodist Church and School in Miami

Gridline Properties has arranged the sale of a former Methodist church and school in Miami for $5.4 million. The 28, 947-square-foot property is located at 205 NE 87th St. in Miami’s Upper East Side and within El Portal Village. Built in 1952, the former Rader Memorial United Methodist Church has been vacant for more than 10 years. Gridline’s Alfredo Riascos…

Rock-bottom prices: 11 malls whose valuations have tanked

The pandemic has wreaked havoc across the retail industry, but few have been hit harder than second-tier malls. And it’s no surprise the largest mall operators have taken the biggest hits. Simon Property Group and Brookfield Property Partners controlled 5 of the 11 malls whose values have fallen the most, according to Trepp, which tracks commercial mortgage-backed…

Limestone Asset Management Closes on Pinecrest Town Center Mixed-Use Retail and Office Property for $32 Million

Miami-based Limestone Asset Management, via a joint venture with Orion Real Estate Group, closed on Pinecrest Town Center, the mixed-use retail and office property located at 12651 South Dixie Highway, Pinecrest, FL 33156, for $32 million. Limestone Asset Management invests in and acquires real estate properties over all asset classes throughout North…

Pop-Up Hotel Concept WhyHotel Launches In Miami

A pop-up hotel concept that originated in Washington, D.C., will launch in Miami on May 1. WhyHotel takes over units in new luxury apartment buildings, bringing in revenue and adding vitality to properties during the lease-up period. In Miami, WhyHotel will operate over 100 units at AMLI Midtown Miami, a 719-unit complex at 3000 NE Second Ave. that…

Sterling Bay Signs Retail Lease with Love Life Café at 545WYN in Miami

Sterling Bay, a Chicago-based real estate development firm, has signed a retail lease with eatery Love Life Café in Miami’s Wynwood district. Love Life Café will take 3,767 square feet of storefront space at 545wyn, Wynwood’s first Class A creative office building. Sterling Bay broke ground on 545wyn in January 2019 and completed the building in late 2020.

Office sector to keep sinking until 2024, Moody’s predicts

The office market is looking at three more years of pain until it turns the corner, according to a new report. Moody’s Analytics and CWCapital note that long-term leases saved landlords from a mass exodus but downsizing will continue to erode their tenant base. As a result, the rise in subleasing and vacancy and the fall in rents will continue before starting to ease…

Sleepy No Longer, Downtown Miami Evolves Into Urban Hub

Once a place that emptied at 5 p.m., Downtown Miami is in the midst of a dramatic transformation. Overlooked no longer, the city’s central business district is getting denser, growing taller and attracting new attention. The area has been poised for a breakout since the Great Recession, and its moment finally seemed to arrive during the pandemic. Out-of-state…

Developers look to seize the moment as Miami condo craze returns

A rendering of Baccarat Miami With half the business elite seemingly moving to Miami, South Florida’s residential developers are betting that migration momentum will overcome even the market’s significant supply glut.    They’re launching major condo towers set to bring thousands of new luxury units to the area, citing the spillover from booming single-family…

Israeli bond market rule changes could hinder U.S. developers

Around 30 U.S. real estate firms have raised over $5.5 billion in the Israeli bond market in the past decade (iStock) Over the past decade, U.S. developers have flocked to the Israeli bond market to obtain cheap financing for real estate projects — but that could change if new rules governing bonds are enacted. The Israel Securities Authority has…

Multifamily complex in Overtown Opportunity Zone hits market for nearly $12M

An apartment complex in an Opportunity Zone in Miami’s Overtown neighborhood hit the market with an asking price of $11.5 million. The owner of Citywalk Apartments, tied to Miami-based Armos Investments, listed the property at 415 Southwest Ninth Street after renovating some of the 92 units. The apartments were built in 1950, records show. Arthur Porosoff, David Cohen and Joseph Phelps of The Porosoff Group,…

WeWork lost $3B in 2020: report

Investors betting on WeWork’s second act just got a wake-up call. The co-working company lost $3.2 billion last year as the Covid-19 health crisis slashed the demand for flexible office spaces, the Financial Times reported, citing documents shown to possible investors. The pandemic caused WeWork’s occupancy rates to fall 47 percent in 2020, down from 72…

What’s Driving Record Industrial Real Estate Demand

The global pandemic accelerated the growth of e-commerce as lockdowns and safety concerns prompted an increasing number of consumers worldwide to shop online. As a result, several years of online sales growth were condensed into 2020 alone, causing industrial leasing to surge globally as logistics became essential for retailers. Changes in population…

Industrial Properties by U.S. Airports Command Premium Rents

According to CBRE, distribution firms want to be close to major air hubs to expedite speedy deliveries, but there is often a price to pay: Industrial rent premiums average 13 percent in the top U.S. airport submarkets and reach as high as 47% in the Chicago O’Hare submarket. In the era of next-day delivery, third-party logistics firms, ecommerce companies and retailers…

Weird flex but OK: How CRE giants hope to cash in on the future of the office

As a vision of the post-vaccine future of the workplace began to emerge late last year, Industrious co-founder Jamie Hodari was nearing a new funding round with a private equity firm in October. Then, CBRE came calling. The entrepreneur sat down for a socially distanced dinner with CEO Bob Sulentic and Andrew Kupiec, head of CBRE’s in-house co-working…

After $345 million buildout, Brightline to run new Miami-to-Aventura intercity rail

As heralded by a 2019 decision by Miami-Dade commissioners to pay $76 million for a Brightline station near Aventura Mall, county transportation decision-makers last week endorsed the for-profit inter-city rail company’s trains as the preferred mode for a Miami-to-Aventura commuter rail corridor. It will cost an estimated $345 million to build the necessary…

Mixed-use Wynwood buildings on Miami Avenue win OK

A sprawling mixed-use project designed to bring apartments, office space and more in two new buildings in Wynwood won a positive review from the city’s Urban Development Review Board. The board unanimously recommended approval of the project, known as PRH N. MIAMI, after the developer made several changes to the plan in response to issues…

Miami Today Editor suggests we need unity to bar casino perils

Whenever our economy slides, would-be casino owners look to Miami for a free lunch. All that keeps them from the lunch table is state law that bans casinos here and the integrity of enough lawmakers to keep the important barrier intact. As post-pandemic business swings back to normal, casino interests have their knives and forks out with hope of swaying Florida…

A downturn in travel of pandemic proportions : The latest data on miles traveled by air, rail, and road

It’s not news to say that people in modern economies travel. For work, school, or pleasure. For a few hours, days, weeks, months, or even longer. Going places has been an integral and obvious part of work and life for most American households and those of any wealthy economy. It’s also not news to say that travel and work commutes came to a halt last year…

One Thousand Museum developers score $90M refi to stave off foreclosure

The developers of the Zaha Hadid-designed One Thousand Museum condo tower in Miami secured a lifeline, The Real Deal has learned. Louis Birdman, Gilberto Bomeny, Kevin Venger and partners Gregg Covin and Todd Glaser, closed on a $90 million condo inventory loan from Cirrus Real Estate Partners, according to the lender. The refinancing comes less…

Knotel to tap former top WeWork exec as CEO

Knotel is bringing on a WeWork veteran to help straighten out the bankrupt flex-operator. Former WeWork vice chairman Michael Gross will join Knotel as its chief executive, the Wall Street Journal reported. Gross’ first order of business will be to reduce Knotel’s significant losses. The company already plans to close a number of its locations as part of its bankruptcy…

Here’s where Trumpworld has put down roots in South Florida

When Donald Trump left the White House on Inauguration Day, skipping his successor’s ceremony, he flew to South Florida, which has become a base of sorts for his inner circle since election results became widely accepted. Facing a hostile reception in the ex-president’s previous home state of New York, the former president and his wife, Melania…

Changing Zoning From Residential to Commercial

Converting commercial property into residential space—like turning a parking garage into condos—has been popular recently. But what about changing zoning from residential to commercial? Commercial real estate is lucrative. Nearly $90 billion is spent building it each year. If you have a residential property, it could be well worth your time to convert it to…

Cerberus Capital, Stonemont Financial form $1 billion domestic industrial property venture

Stonemont Financial Group and an affiliate of Cerberus Capital Management LP have formed a joint venture to invest in the white-hot logistics sector. The partners want to buy as much as $1 billion worth of industrial real estate, according to Commercial Property Executive. So far, the two firms have purchased properties in Illinois, Florida, Mississippi…

Landlords shun federal rent relief over program requirements

The federal government wants to give landlords and tenants $50 billion to help keep renters in their homes — but some of those property owners are turning down the funding that they’re eligible for. Some landlords have taken issue with the requirements to receive federal rent relief, including disclosing financial information, as well as limits on evicting tenants if…

Flamboyant Miami developer Gil Dezer talks branding, car racing, partnering with Trump

Any screenwriter who pitched the character of Gil Dezer to a Hollywood studio would be laughed out of the room. A chain-smoking, gold chain-wearing, foul-mouthed developer who owns the Aston Martin DB5 James Bond drove in “Goldfinger” and was married at Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago? The 46-year-old president of the development firm started by his…

Newmark’s acquisition of Knotel is approved

A bankruptcy court has approved the sale of flex-office provider Knotel to brokerage Newmark. Newmark officials said they expected the deal to close quickly, Commercial Observer reported. The brokerage provided $20 million in debtor-in-possession financing after Knotel filed for bankruptcy in January, and its stalking-horse bid of $70 million brought it closer…

Chart: Miami-Dade Commercial Real Estate Sales February 2021

Miami MLS Number of Sales from March 2019 to February 2021 for a) Commercial, Industrial or b) Commercial, Business, Agricultural, or Industrial Vacant Land within Miami-Dade County, Florida. The chart in this post shows the number of closed sales of Miami-Dade commercial properties, including improved commercial property and vacant commercial land, that were recorded in the Miami MLS for the two…

Midtown Miami Triptych dev site owner files for Chapter 11 amid foreclosure

The owner of a development site, planned for the mixed-use project Triptych, near Midtown Miami, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy amid foreclosure. The companies that own the property at 3601 North Miami Avenue are controlled by HES Group CEO and managing partner Francisco Arocha, and managing partner Alberto Abilahoud. Those companies filed…

Data center demand — and rent — surge in secondary markets

As new technologies, streaming and remote work drive demand for data centers across the country, smaller markets with relatively limited supply are attracting more attention. Data center space in secondary markets rented at a rate of $134 per kilowatt per month in the second half of 2020, a significant premium from the average primary market rent of $121…

Chart: Miami Commercial Real Estate Sales to List Price Ratio February 2021

January 2011 to February 2021 Sales to List Price Ratio for Commercial/Industrial Property within Miami-Dade County, Florida and Priced from $1 Million to $10 Million as Recorded in Miami MLS The sales to list price ratio as reported by the Miami MLS for improved commercial real estate (MLS classification: commercial/industrial) within…

Woerners buy historic Paramount Theatre in Palm Beach for $14M

The historic Paramount Theatre building in Palm Beach, which opened in 1927 as a silent film cinema and later morphed into a mixed-use retail and office landmark, sold for $14 million. The family investment firm, Woerner Holdings, through its affiliate WEG Paramount, bought the property at 139 North County Road from Paramount Church, a deed shows. Paramount…

JB’s on the Beach site in Deerfield sells at a discount for $11M

JB’s on the Beach oceanfront restaurant site in Deerfield Beach sold for $11 million, more than a year after it hit the market for $18 million. Ark Restaurants, which already owns and runs the restaurant, bought the 1.5-acre property from Boyle Beach House, led by John Boyle, according to a news release. JB’s on the Beach includes a 9,777-square-foot building…

PrivCap sells assisted living facility in Hollywood for $10M

PrivCap Companies sold the Midtown Manor assisted living facility in Hollywood for $9.7 million. Boca Raton-based PrivCap, through affiliate Midtown Manor Holdings, sold the property at 2001 Polk Street to Midtown Al Propco, led by Moshe Soskin and Joseph Hirsch, according to a deed. The buyer took out a $7.5 million loan from Israel Discount Bank of New York.

Related wins approval to develop high-rise condo project in Hollywood

Hollywood commissioners approved the Related Group’s proposal to develop a high-rise condominium and community center on city-owned beachfront land. Miami-based Related would rebuild the outdated Hollywood Beach Culture and Community Center at 1301 South Ocean Drive, and develop a 30-story, 300-unit condo project on adjacent…

Fort Lauderdale shoots down $1B Bahia Mar condo project on public land

Fort Lauderdale shot down developer Jimmy Tate’s $1 billion Bahia Mar condominium project proposal, but left the door open for Tate to renegotiate his lease for the publicly owned waterfront property. Following Tate’s pitch for 651 condo units during a public meeting on Tuesday, it was clear he didn’t have the needed commission support…

Hollywood approves funding for apartment project with workforce units

Affiliated Development won city approval of its subsidized plan to develop The Tropic, an 18-story apartment building with rent-controlled “workforce” units in downtown Hollywood. The 208-unit, mixed-income apartment building at 1744 and 1753 Federal Highway will have 50 percent of its units reserved for such middle-income tenants as police officers…

Triarch buys Dania Beach industrial property for $10M

Triarch Capital Group bought a Dania Beach warehouse distribution property for $10.4 million, in a deal a broker says set a record price per square foot. Aventura-based Triarch Capital bought the two buildings at 950-952 and 940 Eller Drive as well as a next-door half-acre lot in an off-market deal, according to a press release. Records show the buildings…

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March 24, 2021

Chart: Miami-Dade Commercial Real Estate Sales February 2021

Miami MLS Number of Sales from March 2019 to February 2021 for a) Commercial, Industrial or b) Commercial, Business, Agricultural, or Industrial Vacant Land within Miami-Dade County, Florida

The chart in this post shows the number of closed sales of Miami-Dade commercial properties, including improved commercial property and vacant commercial land, that were recorded in the Miami MLS for the two years ending February 2021. One can see that February was a fairly normal sales month for Miami commercial real estate.

This is only for sales booked in the Miami Multiple Listing Service (MLS). This does not record all commercial property sales, but it records many. Given that it doesn’t record all sales it can’t be said to be perfectly representative of the asset class. Nevertheless, given that it is representative of commercial property sales that have also been so recorded in a prior period versus the current one, i.e. apples to apples, it should be fairly reliable for gauging change.

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March 19, 2021

Chart: Miami Commercial Real Estate Sales to List Price Ratio February 2021

January 2011 to February 2021 Sales to List Price Ratio for Commercial/Industrial Property within Miami-Dade County, Florida and Priced from $1 Million to $10 Million as Recorded in Miami MLS

The sales to list price ratio as reported by the Miami MLS for improved commercial real estate (MLS classification: commercial/industrial) within Miami-Dade county in Florida priced from $1 million to $10 million in February drifted lower to 90.3% from 94.1% the month prior. Though the lowest it has been since September of 2020, this percentage is about the middle of the pack when viewed over recent years.

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March 18, 2021

Miami Commercial Real Estate News March 17, 2021: Coconut Grove Residence Inn Sells; Kushner Breaks Ground on Wynwood Project; More…

Kushner starts construction on first South Florida development, scores $80M loan

Laurent Morali and Charles Kushner with a rendering of their Wynwood project Kushner Companies started construction on its first South Florida development with partner Block Capital Group. The developers are financing construction of their Wynwood project with a roughly $80 million loan from Axos Bank and Fortress. New York-based Kushner, founded…

Kushner Breaks Ground On First Florida Project – in Wynwood

Kushner Cos. broke ground Thursday on its first development project in Florida, where the company has been purchasing land over the past few years. Wynd, formerly called Wynwood 27 & 28, will be a mixed-use complex in Miami composed of two buildings at 130 NW 27th St. in the Wynwood arts district. Designed by Arquitectonica and developed…

Interactive Map: Land Sales psf by Miami 21 Zoning Code

To really use this correctly, you’ll need to access this on Google Maps directly. First, read the following. This map was made by using publicly available sales, filtering out sales types that tend to result in errant data. Consequently, though the underlying data was systematically assembled, it is far from complete, and thus is not perfect. Also note that this is intended…

SH Hotels & Resorts to Open 62-Story Treehouse Hotel in Brickell District

SH Hotels & Resorts, an affiliate of global private investment firm Starwood Capital Group led by Barry Sternlicht, will open the Treehouse Hotel in Miami’s Brickell district in 2023. Rockwell Group and SHoP Architects are the designers of the development, which will be the first U.S. Treehouse Hotel. The first Treehouse Hotel debuted in London in 2019. Treehouse…

Yardi Releases Winter 2021 Miami Multifamily Report

As Miami continues to navigate the health crisis and ensuing economic hardship, the metro became an example of resilience in the face of adversity, according to a study by the Atlantic Council’s Adrienne Arsht-Rockefeller Foundation Resilience Center. The report commended Miami’s efforts to repurpose existing strategies—already tested against coastal…

Edgewater Assemblage Site Fronting Biscayne Blvd Lists for $49.5M

A commercial assemblage spanning almost three acres in Miami’s blooming Edgewater neighborhood was recently placed on the market with a price tag nearing $50 million. The site includes a commercial building as well as 54 apartments. According to property records, the assemblage, located at 3333 Biscayne Boulevard, is controlled by Miami Sunrise Properties…

HFZ faces lawsuit, unpaid tax bill for Shore Club South Beach hotel

A partner in HFZ Capital Partners’ Shore Club in South Beach filed a lawsuit against the hotel’s owners, as HFZ’s financial and legal troubles continue to mount. A company tied to The Clark Estates, the family of the late newspaper publisher and businessman Stephen Carlton Clark, is suing the Shore Club’s owners to block the sale of the hotel without the approval…

Hulu unveils trailer for new WeWork documentary

“When you tell a 30-something male he’s Jesus Christ, he’s inclined to believe you.” That’s a line from the trailer for Hulu’s new crime-thrilleresque documentary on WeWork, set to hit the streaming service April 2. The two-and-a-half minute preview for “WeWork: Or The Making And Breaking Of A $47 Billion Unicorn” released Wednesday give…

Retail spending falls in February, but here come stimulus checks

Retail sales in February dropped 3 percent from January, a sharper decline than expected, but reflecting the timing of stimulus payments. Sales in January had surged 7.3 percent after $600 stimulus payments were deposited into consumers’ bank accounts at the end of last year. Spending then fell in February, but was $33 billion higher than in February 2020…

Citizens insurance seeks rate increase after adding 100K policies over last year

Florida’s state-backed insurer, Citizens Property Insurance Corp., is seeking a rate increase as it grapples with more than 100,000 new customers gained over the past year. Barry Gilway, Citizens’ president and CEO, said an increasing number of private insurers are not writing new policies or are restricting the types of properties they will cover, according to the…

Miami Beach Treehouse nightclub for sale — for cash or cryptocurrency

A Miami Beach nightclub is for sale, and open to Bitcoin buyers, which could make it the first known commercial real estate deal to close with cryptocurrency. Treehouse nightclub owner and operator Michael Freundlich put the single-story, 4,322-square-foot property at 323 23rd Street on the market. The nightclub, known for its techno and EDM…

Will This Miami Nightclub Be First U.S. CRE Sale In Bitcoin?

A Miami Beach nightclub called Treehouse at 323 23rd Street in South Beach is for sale, and the seller will accept Bitcoin as payment. If a Bitcoin buyer emerges, it could be the first U.S. commercial real estate transaction using cryptocurrency, according to.. “He’ll do part Bitcoin, full Bitcoin. He’ll hold paper. He’ll do a lease with an option. He would probably entertain…”

Bitcoin price – Miami Beach Nightclub for Sale, Open to Bitcoin Buyers

A Miami Beach nightclub is for sale, and open to Bitcoin buyers, which could make it the first known commercial real estate deal to close with cryptocurrency. Treehouse nightclub owner and operator Michael Freundlich put the single-story, 4,322-square-foot property at 323 23rd Street on the market. The nightclub, known for its techno and EDM…

Eric Trump is pushing for the family’s Doral golf resort in Florida to be turned into a casino

Eric Trump is pushing for the Trump Organization’s financially struggling Miami Doral Resort in South Florida to be turned into a casino to help boost revenues, the Washington Post reported Wednesday. The Florida state legislature is considering pursuing legislation that would allow real estate developers to grant gambling permits to properties without needing…

Much Of NYC’s CRE Business Has Moved To Florida. Will It Stay?

Miami has come to be known as the sixth borough of New York City, flourishing through the pandemic as moneyed Northeasterners have made a well-publicized move south. High earners, who in any other year would be packed into subways on their way to Midtown skyscrapers, are instead filling the Miami restaurants and buying pricey Florida houses and…

Oasis Wynwood unveils restaurant lineup, Pura Vida opens Abba Telavivian Kitchen on Miami Beach, other restaurant news

The Oasis, a mixed-use development in Wynwood, unveiled its food and beverage lineup. Coyo Taco co-founders Sven Vogtland and Alan Drummond are managing the 35,000-square-foot outdoor space. The Oasis is set to open next month and it will include six dining concepts, a tower bar, and a stage for live performances. Sandwich shop Alidoro, Buya…

Sluggish hotel market showing signs of life

Hotels are receiving an injection of new guests as more Americans receive the Covid-19 vaccine and consider traveling again. U.S. hotel occupancy hit 49 percent in the week ending March 6, its highest level since last August, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing data from STR. That’s down from 65 percent in March 2020 before the effects of the pandemic were fully felt.

Four national, global firms sign Downtown Doral office leases

The Offices at Downtown Doral, a mixed-use office campus within the suburban town center of Doral, has announced leases for four new tenants at 8333, the campus’s class “A” office building. A spokesperson for Codina Partners said the four new tenants are Paramount Residential Mortgage Group Inc. (PRMG), HDR Engineering Inc., Ekman Group and Kia Motors…

Coral Gables sounds out merchants on adding street music

Coral Gables city commissioners favor possibly easing noise prohibitions near and around the Central Business District. During their March 9 commission meeting, Commissioner Michael Mena brought up a discussion on whether restaurants or venues residing at the Central Business District should have lighter restrictions to play live music. Mr. Mena said he has…

Melreese soccer development seen as airport safety threat

Several county departments have joined the agency that runs Miami International Airport (MIA) in citing safety, traffic and commercial concerns with a soccer stadium complex proposed on nearby City of Miami-owned Melreese golf course. While there is reason for concern, said Lester Sola, Miami-Dade Aviation director, county staff still needs more information.

Wells Fargo moving Coconut Grove office into city-owned Regatta Harbour garage

Regatta Harbour, the mixed-use development at the helm of Coconut Grove’s waterfront revitalization, has attracted a notable tenant. Project developer The TREO Group– a Miami-based, privately-held real estate investment firm – announced Tuesday a signed lease agreement with Wells Fargo, the diversified, community-based financial services company…

Requiring 68% more costly steel is waste, not patriotism

With the aim of patriotism, Miami-Dade commissioners just signed a blank check to raise costs to taxpayers on an unknown number of infrastructure projects by an unknown percentage with an unknown total price. They missed their target. Their unanimous vote requires that the county use iron and steel products that are made in the USA. Only if suppliers couldn’t…

Blackstone, Starwood strike $6B deal for Extended Stay America

A long-in-the-works deal for an extended-stay hotel chain is finally coming to fruition. Blackstone Group and Starwood Capital Group have acquired Extended Stay America for about $6 billion, Bloomberg News reported. The two private-equity firms are paying $19.50 per share for the hotel operator, according to the report. Both companies have previously invested in the…

AEW sells Miami apartment complex to Grand Peaks for $63M

Cascades at the Hammocks with Grand Peaks CEO Luke Simpson and AEW CEO Jeff Furber (Google Maps) AEW Capital Management sold the Cascades at the Hammocks multifamily complex in southwest Miami-Dade County for $63 million. Records show AEW’s affiliate, Cascades at Hammocks LLC, sold the apartments at 10605 Hammocks Boulevard, to Grand Peaks Properties’ affiliate Cascades Hammocks Apartments LLC. Denver-based…

Newmark’s bid to acquire Knotel is nearly complete

Newmark’s bid to acquire Knotel is nearly complete. The bankrupt flex-office provider was scheduled to be sold on Friday afternoon in an auction, but no other qualified bidders submitted an offer, the Commercial Observer reported. A subsidiary of Newmark, which established a stalking-horse bid in advance of the auction, became the winner, according to the report.

Landlords, condo associations sue to end ban on eviction writs in Miami-Dade

A group of Miami-Dade County landlords, condo associations and others are pushing to end the moratorium on executing residential writs of possession filed during the pandemic. The county has suspended police enforcement of such writs for evictions filed since March 2020. The Miami-Dade Police Department executes writs of possession. Six landlords, three condo…

Data centers poised for record year of leasing

Data centers appear poised for record growth this year. A recent CBRE report found that demand is strong, and preleasing suggests 2021 a sustained surge, CNBC reported. Data centers https://therealdeal.com/chicago/tag/data-centers/ — essentially large warehouses filled with computing and data storage systems — are…

Spider nixes plans for Edgewater condo project, disposes of dev site for $7M

Spider sold an assemblage in Miami’s Edgewater neighborhood for $7.25 million, after scrapping plans to build a 12-story condominium. Spider, led by Andres Goldenberg and Alejandro Eskenazi, sold the 28,000-square-foot site to Edgewater investor Jehad Audy, according to a press release. The two lots are at 113 and 123 Northeast 25th Street, and include a 1926-built…

Target moves to hybrid work-from-home model for corporate office

Target is making moves to take its corporate workforce remote after a banner year in sales. The company will cease operations at the City Center building in downtown Minneapolis and will find alternative office accommodations for its 3,500 workers, the New York Times reported. More than 25 percent of the big-box retailer’s Minneapolis-area corporate…

Residence Inn Coconut Grove sells for $31M, to be converted to apartments

Hersha Hospitality Trust sold a Marriott-branded hotel in Coconut Grove for $31 million…. The Philadelphia-based hotel real estate investment trust sold the three-building, 140-unit Residence Inn by Marriott to AB Asset Management, led by Getzy Fellig and Sam Zalmanov. The Miami Beach-based buyer plans to upgrade the property at 2835 Tigertail Avenue in…

Hersha Hospitality Trust Sells 140-Room Hotel in Miami’s Coconut Grove Neighborhood

Hersha Hospitality Trust has sold the Residence Inn by Marriott, a three-building, 140-room hotel at 2835 Tigertail Avenue in Miami’s Coconut Grove neighborhood. John Crotty, Michael Fay, David Duckworth, Brian de la Fé, Emily Brais and Berkley Bloodworth of Avison Young represented the seller in the transaction. AB Asset Management purchased the hotel for an…

Record cargo activity at PortMiami; January busiest month in history

PortMiami, one of the top ports in the U.S., processed 113,835 Twenty-Foot Equivalent Units (TEUs) in January 2021, an increase of 21.02 percent from the 94,064 TEUs processed in January 2020, the most active month ever recorded. Between fiscal year to date, Oct. 1, 2020, through Jan. 31, 2021, PortMiami processed a total of 420,838 TEUs representing the busiest…

The future of commercial real estate in Miami Beach

One year after the pandemic shut everything down the region is seeing a pop of activity in residential sales and interest from companies in having some kind of a presence in South Florida. If and how long that lasts is unpredictable, but four local industry leaders shared their thoughts on what’s ahead for commercial real estate in Miami Beach.

Rotem Rosen wins round in fight with Alex Sapir over Tamir Sapir’s estate

Rotem Rosen has won the most recent courtroom skirmish in the protracted war for more than $100 million of the estate of his former father-in-law, the late Tamir Sapir. The dispute, now in its second year in New York Surrogate’s Court, was nearly settled last year. But then the late real estate titan’s son and executor of his will, Alex Sapir, reversed course at the…

Biscayne Boulevard dev site hits market for $11M

A multifamily and commercial development site at 11240 Biscayne Boulevard near North Miami hit the market for $10.5 million. Owner Alex Silberman purchased the 3.2 acres of land at 11240 Biscayne Boulevard in August 2012 for $2.9 million from Biscayne 114 Center of New York, property records show. The asking price shows a significant uptick in valuations since then.

The 369-unit multifamily Vesada in Doral begins lease-up phase

LMC has kicked off leasing at its second community in Doral, Fla. Leasing opportunities for Vesada will be available through the leasing office that opened earlier this month alongside virtual and online alternatives. Scheduled to see its first move-ins in March, the 369-unit Vesada will offer one-, two- and three-bedroom floorplans. The units…

Done deal: Biden signs $1.9T stimulus with billions for real estate

President Joe Biden signed the $1.9 trillion stimulus package on Thursday, aggressively expanding federal aid to renters, homeowners, small businesses and more. “This historic legislation is about rebuilding the backbone of this country,” Biden said before signing the bill, “and giving the people of this nation, working people, the middle-class folks, people…

Bruce and Shawn Chait arrested on charges of extorting Miami based 13th Floor Investments

Father and son real estate duo Bruce and Shawn Chait were arrested on charges they tried to extort millions of dollars from Arnaud Karsenti of 13th Floor Investments, in connection to Tamarac housing communities the firm developed on golf courses once owned by the Chaits. The Florida Department of Law Enforcement arrested…

AMC reopens 90% of U.S. theaters

The show is going on for AMC. The international movie theater chain has reopened nearly 90 percent of its U.S. cinemas. AMC Entertainment Holdings said Wednesday that 527 out of 589 domestic theaters have reopened since last year’s shutdown. They include theaters in New York City, and theaters in Los Angeles are set to reopen soon. Internationally…

Sunbeam Television buys North Bay Village site next to Channel 7 for $29M

Sunbeam Television Corp., owner of WSVN-Channel 7, bought property next to the TV station in North Bay Village for $29 million. Records show Sunbeam Television, led by Andrew Ansin, bought two lots next to Channel 7 from Isle of Dreams, led by Andre Radandt. The property at 1415 Northeast 79th Street now has a two-story, 17,426-square-foot utility…

Lynd buys Margate apartments from Grand Peaks for $51M

San Antonio-based multifamily investor Lynd bought a Margate apartment complex for $50.75 million. Lynd bought the 280-unit Lakes of Margate at 5750 Lakeside Drive from Denver-based Grand Peaks, according to a press release. The sale price equates to $181,250 per unit. Built in 1987, the garden-style community spans nearly 14 acres, according to property…

Raanan Katz buys Publix-anchored Plantation shopping center for $17M

Raanan Katz’s RK Centers picked up a Publix-anchored Plantation shopping center for $17 million, its third South Florida acquisition since September. RK Centers, through affiliate RK Veranda, bought Veranda Shoppes from Regency Centers Corp. affiliate Equity One JV Sub Veranda, according to a deed. Property records show the 47,678-square-foot shopping…

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March 17, 2021

Interactive Map: Land Sales psf by Miami 21 Zoning Code

To use this effectively, you’ll want to filter by zoning. To do that, you’ll need to access this on Google Maps directly using the link later in this post.

First, however, read the following:

This map was made by using publicly available sales from 2018 to 2020, filtering out sales types such as multi-parcel sales that tend to result in errant (or more complicated to infer per parcel amounts) data. Consequently, though the underlying data was systematically assembled, it is far from complete, and thus is not perfect. Also note that this is intended be only vacant land sales. However, to increase the data set size, sales where the county values the building on a property at less than 20% of the total value of the property were also included. That should work fairly well to filter for properties that traded like vacant land given the commercial zoning of these properties, but again, it isn’t perfect. Also, restricted, limited and open (R, L, O) sub-classifications within each zoning type are lumped together. For example, T5 L, T5 R, T5 O are all in T5. This isn’t perfect (sensing a trend?), but I think it is better than a bunch of thinly sliced classifications with small data sets each.

To use this map effectively, each zoning classification map needs to be viewed independently as the gradient ranges are set for each layer. To do this, assuming you’ve carefully read the proceeding, click through to the map on Google Maps here. Once there, you should be able to select and deselect different Miami 21 zoning layers. There is an image at the bottom of this post showing, as an example, what this map will look like if you deselect all Miami 21 zoning classifications except for T5.

For buyers or sellers seeking more comprehensive information, we have tools that can provide more comprehensive and frequently more relevant comparables. For that, contact me.

This is what the map should look like if you deselect all Miami 21 zoning classifications except for T5.
This is what the map should look like if you deselect all Miami 21 zoning classifications except for T5.

More Miami 21 Related Resources:

OK, the disclaimers…

Any and all facts, statistics, financial information, specifications, and analysis provided are on a best efforts basis only, and should not be relied upon for making real estate or investment related decisions. Nothing in this post should not be relied on for, tax, legal or accounting advice.

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March 12, 2021

Miami Commercial Real Estate News March 10, 2021: Miami River Marina Trades; Site for Planned Sports Entertainment Facility Sells; More…

RCI Group sells River Cove Marina in Miami for $11M

Real estate and marina developer and owner RCI Group sold a marina on the Miami River for $11 million. Records show RCI Group affiliate 2000 Miami River Marina sold the 72-slip River Cove Marina to Cove Marina Holding, a Delaware entity. Built in 2009, the marina spans 4 acres and includes a 2,778-square-foot structure for a dockmaster station as well…

David Martin, Avra Jain, Joe Del Vecchio sell Miami industrial dev site for $8M

An aerial of the property with Avra Jain and Terra’s David Martin Avra Jain, Joe Del Vecchio and Terra’s David Martin sold a Miami industrial land site for $7.5 million where they previously planned to develop a warehouse for a sports entertainment facility. Boston-based logistics real estate investor Xebec Realty bought the 4.7 acres at 1010 Northwest 72nd Street in…

Two SPACs led by Russell Galbut and Michael Liebowitz each file for $100M IPOs

Developer Russell Galbut and investor Michael S. Liebowitz are rolling out the SPACs. The two partners, who last year raised $115 million for their New Beginnings Acquisition Corp. blank check company, filed initial public offerings for two more companies, New Beginnings Acquisition Corp. II and New Beginnings Acquisition Corp. III, each targeting $100 million raises.

Flight to Florida? Data show few Manhattanites moved permanently

Headline after headline made it seem like half of Manhattan had moved to Florida for good. Chefs, celebrities and bankers alike relocated to the Sunshine State during the pandemic. Reality check: Only a small percentage of Manhattanites relocated permanently to Florida last year. And as vaccinations amp up, many might be returning — or changing their…

Ryan Cos. buys Kendall site, scores $28M construction loan for e-commerce warehouse

Commercial real estate firm Ryan Companies scored a $28.2 million construction loan for its planned Kendall e-commerce warehouse and bought the development site for $12 million. Records show that Ryan Companies affiliate Kendall Property Owner bought the 10 acres on the intersection of Southwest 136th Street and 132nd Avenue from TCAG…

Proposed North Miami Beach mixed-use, multifamily high-rise development advances

Plans for a 19-story mixed-use, multifamily high-rise in North Miami Beach are moving forward. The North Miami Beach Planning & Zoning Board on Monday night approved the project at Northeast 163rd Street and 19th Avenue. The variances and site plan for the 224-foot-tall Skygarden tower still needs to be approved by the North Miami Beach City Commission.

Matis Cohen, Russell Galbut score approval for Normandy Isles project in Miami Beach

Matis Cohen and Russell Galbut with the original building and a rendering of the Normandy Isles project Matis Cohen and Russell Galbut’s plans for a mixed-use building in Normandy Isles are moving forward. The Miami Beach Historic Preservation Board on Monday voted 4 to 2 in favor of the certificate of appropriateness, and voted unanimously in favor of five…

Discount chains thrive amid retail meltdown

What retail meltdown? While department and chain stores have been suffering since even before the pandemic, discount retailers — including Five Below, HomeGoods, TJ Maxx and Dollar General — are ramping up to open more stores in the next few months. TJX, the parent company of TJ Maxx and Marshalls, will open 81 stores across its brands in…

Reuben Brothers seeks to foreclose on Zaha Hadid-designed One Thousand Museum

One Thousand Museum, the luxury downtown Miami condo tower designed by the late Zaha Hadid, is facing a foreclosure lawsuit, The Real Deal has learned. Reuben Brothers, the London-based private equity and investment firm led by British billionaire brothers David and Simon Reuben, sued to foreclose on the remaining 15 unsold units at the…

Big names vie to build first Miami International Airport hotel in 60 years

Three firms are on a shortlist to build the first new hotel at Miami International Airport (MIA) in more than six decades, and they feature names known to the Miami-Dade development community. The firms were the only ones to respond to a bid request the county issued in October, according to Rita Silva, division director of procurement for Miami-Dade…

Historic Walgreens site to bustle with restaurants

An historic and iconic building on a high-profile corner in downtown Miami is being reborn as a venue bustling with new restaurants and bars, and some office space. The city’s Historic and Environmental Preservation Board has approved a special certificate of appropriateness for an addition and alterations to a property at 200 E Flagler St. The applicant, 200 East…

7-acre Plaza Coral Gables sprints to finish line

Despite hurdles and challenges presented by the pandemic, construction at The Plaza Coral Gables remains on schedule to meet its August 2022 completion goal.  Developed by Agave Holdings LLC, the $500 million, 7-acre plaza at 2901 Ponce De Leon Blvd. will feature more than 450,000 square feet of LEED (Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design)…

Sorry, boss: 72% of workers don’t want to return to offices full-time

Though landlords aren’t quite ready to say goodbye to their offices, employees are, according to a new survey by JLL. Office landlords may be ready to get their buildings filled with workers again, but employees aren’t exactly clamoring to go back, according to a new survey by JLL. Of the 2,000 workers surveyed by the commercial brokerage, 72 percent said they…

Lawsuit against Jared Galbut, Keith Menin alleging fraudulent special assessments at Bentley South Beach moves forward

A judge ruled that the plaintiff in a 2014 lawsuit against hoteliers Jared Galbut and Keith Menin can seek punitive damages from the Menin Hospitality principals. Colleen Bennett, a unit owner at the Bentley South Beach, filed the lawsuit against the Bentley condo association more than six years ago. In an updated complaint filed in January against the condo…

What real estate gets in Biden’s $1.9 trillion package

From rent relief to aid for restaurants, the $1.9 trillion stimulus package has lots of goodies for real estate. President Joe Biden’s American Rescue Plan was passed Saturday by the Senate and is headed back to the House, which is expected to follow suit. Read more National eviction moratorium ruled unconstitutional, but remains in place Biden to…

Movie theaters’ future uncertain as studios focus on streaming

A lackluster box office performance of Walt Disney’s new movie is putting a cloud over the future of movie theaters. Ticket sales for the Walt Disney Company’s highly-anticipated “Raya and the Last Dragon” totaled only $8.6 million over the weekend in the United States and Canada, the New York Times reported, citing data from Comscore. The result is considered…

Baptist submits plans for medical offices, Altman multifamily project in Kendall

Baptist Health South Florida CEO Brian Keeley with The Altman Companies Seth Wise and Joel Altman and renderings of the project A 354-unit multifamily complex and an adjacent medical building could rise on a 14.5-acre property in Kendall that is now a strawberry farm. Baptist Hospital of Miami, part of Baptist Health of South Florida, last week submitted an…

A Look at the Post-COVID Recovery of the Hotel Industry

The pandemic is severely challenging the hotel industry, and a bounce-back could take some time. Although the pandemic is causing massive economic disruption and putting numerous sectors in trouble, perhaps no industry is experiencing more significant challenges than hospitality. Consumers aren’t traveling anywhere near pre-COVID levels despite the lift of initial travel…

Does the Hotelization of Offices Work in the Age of COVID?

More services and amenities could be the key to attracting tenants. But the difficulty of obtaining capital for customized improvements puts up barriers to “hotelizing” offices. COVID-19 is speeding up the work-from-home revolution, as more employees are avoiding the office and working remotely than ever before.  Pew Research Center reports that 71% of…

Is the Open Office Concept a Thing of the Past?

The need for social distancing is sure to amplify many pre-pandemic questions about the efficiency of open offices. The open-concept office is widespread in corporate America, though it has taken some hits in recent years. The movement first gained traction in the 1970s and remains a go-to setup for many businesses around the country.

Off the grid: Developers eye “virtual power plants” for properties

A growing number of developers in the U.S. are investing in integrated solar power and battery systems for their buildings. Advances in energy storage technology and falling prices for batteries mean these “virtual power plants” are becoming viable for a variety of buildings and uses, according to the New York Times. The technology would also create more energy…

Leisure, hospitality big winners in February job gains

Leisure and hospitality may finally be on the road to recovery. The industry added 355,000 jobs in February, as coronavirus restrictions began easing in some parts of the country amid the rollout of a national vaccine campaign. The vaccine news is a welcome shot in the arm for the economy: There were 379,000 jobs added last month, according to the Bureau of Labor…

Retailer Burlington plans to double store count

One discount retailer says it plans to open twice as many stores, due to industry disruption and a change in its strategy. Burlington Stores, which previously operated as Burlington Coat Factory, has a long-term plan of increasing its total store count to 2,000 locations, up from 1,000, Chain Store Age reported. The company currently operates 761 stores, and intends…

Mall owner Washington Prime Group prepares for bankruptcy

A major mall owner is preparing for bankruptcy after it failed to make an interest payment on its debt. Washington Prime Group, a real estate investment trust which owns more than 100 malls, has been negotiating with its lender to reduce its debt — but the talks are not going well, Bloomberg News reported. The mall owner has said Covid-19 could…

Considering Multifamily Construction Costs in Miami

Finding myself involved in multifamily development deals of late, I tasked myself with updating my general feel for area construction costs of such projects. What I discovered matched all such conversations of late and can be summed in a word; escalating. One conversation was with a principal of a substantial area general contractor. When I asked him this question…

For multifamily, office landlords, worst is yet to come: Moody’s

For landlords across different commercial real estate sectors, Moody’s Analytics has some potentially distressing news: The worst may be yet to come. A new report by the economic research firm looks at the state of commercial real estate in the wake of the pandemic, and what to expect in 2021. The report looks at four CRE sectors — multifamily, office, retail…

Chilean developer launches first South Florida condo project in Bay Harbor Islands

Edgardo Defortuna, Claudio Cordero and Carlos Balart with a rendering of the project Ambienta Developers is launching sales of its first condo development in South Florida in Bay Harbor Islands, The Real Deal has learned. Ambienta Bay Harbor Islands, a planned 30-unit building at 9901 West Bay Harbor Drive, is expected to break ground in June, said…

Address not applicable: What happens to the HQ in the remote-work age?

When a company prepares to go public, it submits to the SEC a document known as the S1, which details its business, financials, risks and opportunities. On the first page is a field for the location of its headquarters. Some of these addresses have become legendary: 1600 Amphitheatre Parkway (Google); 1601 Willow Road (Facebook); 345 Park Avenue…

Morgan Properties, Olayan America buy $1.75B multifamily portfolio

Morgan Properties and Olayan America have purchased a portfolio of 48 U.S. multifamily properties for $1.75 billion. The seller was STAR Real Estate Ventures, a joint venture of El-Ad National Properties LLC and Yellowstone Portfolio Trust, according to a press release from Morgan and Olayan. It is Morgan’s largest acquisition since the Pennsylvania-based firm bought…

Maroone drives away with Roger Dean Chevy dealership in West Palm Beach for $13M

Auto mogul Michael Maroone bought the Roger Dean Chevy dealership in West Palm Beach for $12.5 million. Records show Maroone’s Maroone USA, through its affiliate, PD-MM Opco, bought the dealership at 2235 Okeechobee Boulevard from Roger Dean Chevrolet. The buying entity is led by Michael Maroone and his nephew, John Hoctor. The group took out…

Highline, Sefira Capital sell Weston office building for $8M

South Florida real estate investors Highline Real Estate Capital and Sefira Capital sold a Weston office building for $8.3 million. Fort Lauderdale-based Fox Ridge Capital bought Weston Commerce Center at 1625 North Commerce Parkway from Highline and Sefira affiliate HRE/Sefira Weston Office, according to a release. Built in 1991…

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March 10, 2021

Considering Multifamily Construction Costs in Miami

Construction Materials PPI Index for the 5 Years Ending 1/1/21
Employment Cost Index for Construction Workers for the Five Years Ending 10/1/20

Finding myself involved in multifamily development deals of late, I tasked myself with updating my general feel for area construction costs of such projects. What I discovered matched all such conversations of late and can be summed in a word; escalating.

One conversation was with a principal of a substantial area general contractor. When I asked him this question, he pulled up a project they’d recently done to answer the question as $207. That seemed to be a middle of the road development, what the National Building Cost Manual would call Class 3 “High Average Quality.” He quickly added that material costs were up substantially and that he would guess this would be more like $240-270 now.

Similarly, I was discussing with a contractor a price to develop a particular multifamily project. Within the prior year that projects construction costs had been preliminarily estimated at just over $24 million. Now, due to rising costs, that number has increased to $27 million. A back of the napkin calculation, guessing at the percent that is usable, etc., arrived at a similar cost psf to construct.

Bueller? I mean, Powell? Jerome Powell? Mr. Powell?

It should be quickly noted that both of these estimates included costs for architects, etc. It is difficult to standardize these psf estimates. What I find most interesting is the estimates in the increase in the cost of construction. Development land has value based on it development gross margin, developed value less development cost. When development costs increase without an increase in developed value, development gross margin drops. This drop in turn pushes down on the value of development land.

An online source estimated construction costs 2.5 year ago for Atlanta – the factor used by National Building Cost Manual for Atlanta was about 10% higher than Miami in their 2019 manual – at 184 psf for a 4-7 story building, 220 psf for 8-24 stories in the fourth quarter of 2018. That may have been correct then, as costs have indeed risen, though it always seems to me that the real bids are higher than estimating tools say they will be. In any case, costs are higher more now. A quick note for developers from the north, the NBCM area modification factor for New York City is about 30% higher than Miami. For Boston, it is about 36% higher.

Rising constructions costs as a challenge for developers is a conversation that has been active for a while, as evidenced by the charts of construction labor and materials costs herein. Now, however, the problem seems more pronounced, with materials costs in particular surging to ever higher levels.

Bueller?

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March 5, 2021

Hawkins Commercial Realty Listing Gets 37% More Listing Detail Pageviews (on top of Loopnet Premium) at No Additional Cost

Costar/Loopnet Listing Performance Report for 1007 Park Centre Blvd, Miami Gardens, FL 33169
Google Analytics User and Pageview Data for Pages at HawkinsCRE.com related to the Listing for 1007 Park Centre Blvd, Miami, FL 33169

The top image shows various listing performance metrics for a premium listing in Loopnet for the light industrial property at 1007 Park Centre Blvd, Miami, FL 33169. Highlighted is detail page clicks, the number of times users clicked through and viewed the detail page for the property on Loopnet. The bottom image displays the same type of metrics, detail page views, but within HawkinsCRE.com. Not shown is additional views on Costar, commercial MLS, and various syndicated sites, as those page view metrics are not available.

Most commercial brokers will list a property on Loopnet, and most will do it as a premium listing. Few, if any, however, provide the incremental exposure that a site like ours does. This site, HawkinsCRE.com, is likely the most viewed website related to commercial property in Miami second to Loopnet. For our clients, this means additional exposure to qualified buyers.

In the period of these reports, which is the year to 3/5/21, Loopnet users clicked through to the detail pages of this listing 1,794 times. In the same period, users viewed detail pages for this listing on HawkinsCRE.com 667 times. Loopnet generates more, no question. That site, after all, is the leader nationally in the advertising of commercial properties for sale and lease. However, this property, since it was listed with Hawkins Commercial Realty, received 37% more listing details views. This is not a fluke. We did a similar analysis months back for a a property listed at Cypress Creek and found similar results. What does the competition offer in page views on top of and separate from Loopnet? It depends on the broker, but the answer is generally naught or near naught. That is a substantial and quantifiable differentiator, and not the only one, by the way.

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March 5, 2021